Swit vs Weszlo: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 1Group I - 8Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki
The Footlab model makes Weszlo the favourite at 59%, against 22% for a draw and 19% for Swit. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Swit vs Weszlo?
A very open match: only 97 Elo points separate Swit (1,680) and Weszlo (1,777).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Swit have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Weszlo have 5, 0 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Wigry Suwałki(away) | 0-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki(home) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Widzew II(away) | 0-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Olimpia Zambrów(home) | 4-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Polonia Lidzbark Warm.(away) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Jagiellonia II(home) | 4-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | ŁKS Łódź II(away) | 2-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Mławianka Mława(home) | 5-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Łomża(away) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Lechia T. Mazowiecki(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Swit score 1.7 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Weszlo score 2.8 and concede 0.4. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Swit | 1.7 | 1.6 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Weszlo | 2.8 | 0.4 | 3 | 2/5 | 3/5 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Swit sit 10th in III Liga - Group 1 (7 points from 4 matches) and Weszlo sit 1st (15 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Weszlo | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 2 | 15 |
| 10 | Swit | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Swit vs Weszlo?
- The Footlab model makes Weszlo the favourite at 59%, against 22% for a draw and 19% for Swit.
- Where and when is Swit vs Weszlo played?
- Swit vs Weszlo is played on September 12, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 12, 2026Olimpia ElblągvsPelikan Łowicz
- Sep 12, 2026Olimpia ZambrówvsWigry Suwałki
- Sep 12, 2026Jagiellonia IIvsMławianka Mława
- Sep 12, 2026Wisła Płock IIvsŁKS Łódź II
- Sep 12, 2026Polonia Lidzbark Warm.vsWarta Sieradz
- Sep 12, 2026TroszynvsŁomża
- Sep 12, 2026Widzew IIvsMazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
- Sep 12, 2026Ząbkovia ZąbkivsLechia T. Mazowiecki