Match

Swit vs Weszlo: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 1Group I - 8Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki

SwitWeszlo

The Footlab model makes Weszlo the favourite at 59%, against 22% for a draw and 19% for Swit. The most likely score is 1-2.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Swit vs Weszlo?

A very open match: only 97 Elo points separate Swit (1,680) and Weszlo (1,777).

Swit win19 %
Draw22 %
Weszlo win59 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Swit have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Weszlo have 5, 0 and 0.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Swit
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Wigry Suwałki(away)0-0III Liga - Group 1
Aug 19, 2026Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki(home)1-2III Liga - Group 1
Aug 15, 2026Widzew II(away)0-0III Liga - Group 1
Aug 8, 2026Olimpia Zambrów(home)4-0III Liga - Group 1
Aug 1, 2026Polonia Lidzbark Warm.(away)2-1III Liga - Group 1
Weszlo
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Jagiellonia II(home)4-0III Liga - Group 1
Aug 19, 2026ŁKS Łódź II(away)2-0III Liga - Group 1
Aug 14, 2026Mławianka Mława(home)5-1III Liga - Group 1
Aug 8, 2026Łomża(away)1-0III Liga - Group 1
Jul 31, 2026Lechia T. Mazowiecki(home)2-1III Liga - Group 1

How many goals should we expect?

Swit score 1.7 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Weszlo score 2.8 and concede 0.4. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Swit1.71.659/1510/15
Weszlo2.80.432/53/5

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Swit sit 10th in III Liga - Group 1 (7 points from 4 matches) and Weszlo sit 1st (15 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Weszlo550014215
10Swit4211737

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Swit vs Weszlo?
The Footlab model makes Weszlo the favourite at 59%, against 22% for a draw and 19% for Swit.
Where and when is Swit vs Weszlo played?
Swit vs Weszlo is played on September 12, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Swit and Weszlo

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