Where and when is Troszyn vs Łomża played?

Troszyn vs Łomża is played on September 12, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Piłkarski KS CK Troszyn, in the III Liga - Group 1.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Troszyn vs Łomża: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 1Group I - 8Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Piłkarski KS CK Troszyn, Troszyn

Troszyn

Łomża

The Footlab model makes Łomża the favourite at 44%, against 23% for a draw and 32% for Troszyn. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Troszyn vs Łomża?

A very open match: only 94 Elo points separate Troszyn (1,748) and Łomża (1,842).

Troszyn win32 %

Draw23 %

Łomża win44 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Troszyn have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Łomża have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Troszyn
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Pelikan Łowicz(away)	1-1	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 19, 2026	Warta Sieradz(home)	1-4	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 14, 2026	Wigry Suwałki(away)	0-1	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 8, 2026	Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki(home)	1-4	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 2, 2026	Widzew II(away)	1-5	III Liga - Group 1

Łomża
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Mławianka Mława(home)	0-0	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 19, 2026	Wisła Płock II(away)	1-1	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 14, 2026	Lechia T. Mazowiecki(away)	2-5	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 8, 2026	Weszlo(home)	0-1	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 1, 2026	Pelikan Łowicz(away)	2-3	III Liga - Group 1

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Troszyn win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Łomża win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 23, 2026	Troszyn 0-2 Łomża	III Liga - Group 1
Nov 8, 2025	Łomża 2-3 Troszyn	III Liga - Group 1

Last archived meeting: Troszyn vs Łomża on May 23, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Troszyn score 1.3 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Łomża score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Troszyn	1.3	1.8	2	10/15	8/15
Łomża	1.7	1.3	5	8/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Troszyn sit 17th in III Liga - Group 1 (1 points from 5 matches) and Łomża sit 15th (2 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
15	Łomża	5	0	2	3	5	10	2
17	Troszyn	5	0	1	4	4	15	1

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Troszyn vs Łomża?: The Footlab model makes Łomża the favourite at 44%, against 23% for a draw and 32% for Troszyn.
Where and when is Troszyn vs Łomża played?: Troszyn vs Łomża is played on September 12, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Piłkarski KS CK Troszyn, in the III Liga - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.