Wingate & Finchley vs Cheshunt: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - IsthmianRegular Season - 21Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Maurice Rebak Stadium, London
The Footlab model makes Wingate & Finchley the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Cheshunt. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Wingate & Finchley vs Cheshunt?
A very open match: only 8 Elo points separate Wingate & Finchley (1,725) and Cheshunt (1,732).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Wingate & Finchley have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Cheshunt have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Dulwich Hamlet(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Whyteleafe(away) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Carshalton Athletic(away) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Cray Wanderers(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Aveley(home) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Burgess Hill Town(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Dulwich Hamlet(away) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Cray Wanderers(away) | 0-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Stanway Rovers(home) | 0-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Leyton Orient(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Wingate & Finchley win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Cheshunt win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2026 | Wingate & Finchley 2-3 Cheshunt | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Wingate & Finchley 0-1 Cheshunt | FA Trophy |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Cheshunt 2-3 Wingate & Finchley | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Apr 21, 2025 | Cheshunt 3-1 Wingate & Finchley | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Dec 26, 2024 | Wingate & Finchley 0-1 Cheshunt | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Jan 1, 2024 | Wingate & Finchley 3-2 Cheshunt | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
Last archived meeting: Wingate & Finchley vs Cheshunt on Feb 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Wingate & Finchley score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Cheshunt score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wingate & Finchley | 1.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Cheshunt | 1.1 | 1.3 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Wingate & Finchley sit 16th in Non League Premier - Isthmian (5 points from 4 matches) and Cheshunt sit 18th (3 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Wingate & Finchley | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 5 |
| 18 | Cheshunt | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Wingate & Finchley vs Cheshunt?
- The Footlab model makes Wingate & Finchley the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Cheshunt.
- Where and when is Wingate & Finchley vs Cheshunt played?
- Wingate & Finchley vs Cheshunt is played on December 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Maurice Rebak Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Isthmian.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 5, 2026Eastbourne BoroughvsWhyteleafe
- Dec 5, 2026St Albans CityvsDulwich Hamlet
- Dec 5, 2026WhitehawkvsLeatherhead
- Dec 5, 2026AveleyvsWelling United
- Dec 5, 2026RamsgatevsThree Bridges
- Dec 5, 2026Carshalton AthleticvsBurgess Hill Town
- Dec 5, 2026Cray WanderersvsChatham Town
- Dec 5, 2026Enfield TownvsMaldon & Tiptree