Chełmianka Chełm vs Wiślanie Jaśkowice: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 4Group IV - 16Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Chełm
The Footlab model makes Chełmianka Chełm the favourite at 56%, against 25% for a draw and 19% for Wiślanie Jaśkowice. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chełmianka Chełm vs Wiślanie Jaśkowice?
Chełmianka Chełm starts as the favourite with a 154-point Elo edge (1,926 vs 1,772).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chełmianka Chełm have 12 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats; Wiślanie Jaśkowice have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Naprzód(away) | 2-0 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Wisłoka Dębica(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Moravia Morawica(away) | 3-0 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sokół Kolb.(home) | 2-0 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów(away) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hetman Zamosc(away) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | KSZO 1929(home) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Wisła Kraków II(away) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Naprzód(home) | 2-0 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Moravia Morawica(away) | 2-0 | III Liga - Group 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Chełmianka Chełm win(s), 3 draw(s), 3 Wiślanie Jaśkowice win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 1, 2026 | Wiślanie Jaśkowice 0-0 Chełmianka Chełm | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Oct 11, 2025 | Chełmianka Chełm 1-2 Wiślanie Jaśkowice | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Jun 7, 2025 | Wiślanie Jaśkowice 3-2 Chełmianka Chełm | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Nov 16, 2024 | Chełmianka Chełm 1-1 Wiślanie Jaśkowice | III Liga - Group 4 |
| May 4, 2024 | Wiślanie Jaśkowice 0-0 Chełmianka Chełm | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Oct 7, 2023 | Chełmianka Chełm 1-6 Wiślanie Jaśkowice | III Liga - Group 4 |
Last archived meeting: Wiślanie Jaśkowice vs Chełmianka Chełm on May 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Chełmianka Chełm score 2.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Wiślanie Jaśkowice score 1.1 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chełmianka Chełm | 2.1 | 0.9 | 8 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Wiślanie Jaśkowice | 1.1 | 1.2 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chełmianka Chełm sit 1st in III Liga - Group 4 (15 points from 5 matches) and Wiślanie Jaśkowice sit 2nd (13 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chełmianka Chełm | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 15 |
| 2 | Wiślanie Jaśkowice | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 13 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chełmianka Chełm vs Wiślanie Jaśkowice?
- The Footlab model makes Chełmianka Chełm the favourite at 56%, against 25% for a draw and 19% for Wiślanie Jaśkowice.
- Where and when is Chełmianka Chełm vs Wiślanie Jaśkowice played?
- Chełmianka Chełm vs Wiślanie Jaśkowice is played on November 7, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 7, 2026KSZO 1929vsKS Wieczysta Krakow II
- Nov 7, 2026Hetman ZamoscvsWisłoka Dębica
- Nov 7, 2026Czarni PołaniecvsSokół Kolb.
- Nov 7, 2026Pogoń-Sokół LubaczówvsKorona Kielce II
- Nov 7, 2026Wisła Kraków IIvsSiarka Tarnobrzeg
- Nov 7, 2026NaprzódvsPodlasie Biała Podlaska
- Nov 7, 2026Moravia MorawicavsStar Starachowice
- Nov 7, 2026Busko-ZdrojvsJarosław