Match

Chełmianka Chełm vs Wiślanie Jaśkowice: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 4Group IV - 16Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Chełm

Chełmianka ChełmWiślanie Jaśkowice

The Footlab model makes Chełmianka Chełm the favourite at 56%, against 25% for a draw and 19% for Wiślanie Jaśkowice. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Chełmianka Chełm vs Wiślanie Jaśkowice?

Chełmianka Chełm starts as the favourite with a 154-point Elo edge (1,926 vs 1,772).

Chełmianka Chełm win56 %
Draw25 %
Wiślanie Jaśkowice win19 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chełmianka Chełm have 12 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats; Wiślanie Jaśkowice have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Chełmianka Chełm
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Naprzód(away)2-0III Liga - Group 4
Aug 19, 2026Wisłoka Dębica(home)2-1III Liga - Group 4
Aug 15, 2026Moravia Morawica(away)3-0III Liga - Group 4
Aug 8, 2026Sokół Kolb.(home)2-0III Liga - Group 4
Aug 1, 2026Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów(away)1-0III Liga - Group 4
Wiślanie Jaśkowice
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Hetman Zamosc(away)1-0III Liga - Group 4
Aug 19, 2026KSZO 1929(home)2-2III Liga - Group 4
Aug 15, 2026Wisła Kraków II(away)2-1III Liga - Group 4
Aug 8, 2026Naprzód(home)2-0III Liga - Group 4
Aug 2, 2026Moravia Morawica(away)2-0III Liga - Group 4

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Chełmianka Chełm win(s), 3 draw(s), 3 Wiślanie Jaśkowice win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 1, 2026Wiślanie Jaśkowice 0-0 Chełmianka ChełmIII Liga - Group 4
Oct 11, 2025Chełmianka Chełm 1-2 Wiślanie JaśkowiceIII Liga - Group 4
Jun 7, 2025Wiślanie Jaśkowice 3-2 Chełmianka ChełmIII Liga - Group 4
Nov 16, 2024Chełmianka Chełm 1-1 Wiślanie JaśkowiceIII Liga - Group 4
May 4, 2024Wiślanie Jaśkowice 0-0 Chełmianka ChełmIII Liga - Group 4
Oct 7, 2023Chełmianka Chełm 1-6 Wiślanie JaśkowiceIII Liga - Group 4

Last archived meeting: Wiślanie Jaśkowice vs Chełmianka Chełm on May 1, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Chełmianka Chełm score 2.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Wiślanie Jaśkowice score 1.1 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Chełmianka Chełm2.10.987/158/15
Wiślanie Jaśkowice1.11.256/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Chełmianka Chełm sit 1st in III Liga - Group 4 (15 points from 5 matches) and Wiślanie Jaśkowice sit 2nd (13 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Chełmianka Chełm550010115
2Wiślanie Jaśkowice54109313

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Chełmianka Chełm vs Wiślanie Jaśkowice?
The Footlab model makes Chełmianka Chełm the favourite at 56%, against 25% for a draw and 19% for Wiślanie Jaśkowice.
Where and when is Chełmianka Chełm vs Wiślanie Jaśkowice played?
Chełmianka Chełm vs Wiślanie Jaśkowice is played on November 7, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 4.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Chełmianka Chełm and Wiślanie Jaśkowice

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