Match

Worcester City vs Leamington: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - Southern CentralRegular Season - 40Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Claines Lane, Worcester, Worcestershire

Worcester CityLeamington

The Footlab model makes Worcester City the favourite at 59%, against 22% for a draw and 19% for Leamington. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Worcester City vs Leamington?

Worcester City starts as the favourite with a 183-point Elo edge (1,834 vs 1,650).

Worcester City win59 %
Draw22 %
Leamington win19 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Worcester City have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Leamington have 3, 2 and 10.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Worcester City
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Stamford(home)1-0Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 15, 2026Leighton Town(away)1-2Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 11, 2026Alvechurch(away)1-3Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 8, 2026Stratford Town(away)1-1Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 1, 2026Merthyr Town(home)1-0Friendlies Clubs
Leamington
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Bury Town(away)0-3Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 15, 2026Kettering Town(home)0-1Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 11, 2026Anstey Nomads(home)1-1Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 8, 2026Real Bedford(away)2-4Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 1, 2026Yate Town(home)3-1Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Worcester City win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Leamington win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 14, 2014Worcester City 2-0 LeamingtonFA Cup
Oct 11, 2014Leamington 1-1 Worcester CityFA Cup

Last archived meeting: Worcester City vs Leamington on Oct 14, 2014

How many goals should we expect?

Worcester City score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Leamington score 1.3 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Worcester City1.31.349/157/15
Leamington1.32.2111/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Worcester City sit 19th in Non League Premier - Southern Central (1 points from 3 matches) and Leamington sit 17th (1 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
17Leamington2011351
19Worcester City3012361

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Worcester City vs Leamington?
The Footlab model makes Worcester City the favourite at 59%, against 22% for a draw and 19% for Leamington.
Where and when is Worcester City vs Leamington played?
Worcester City vs Leamington is played on April 3, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Claines Lane, in the Non League Premier - Southern Central.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Worcester City and Leamington

Ready to know everything about football?