Worcester City vs Leamington: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern CentralRegular Season - 40Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Claines Lane, Worcester, Worcestershire
The Footlab model makes Worcester City the favourite at 59%, against 22% for a draw and 19% for Leamington. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Worcester City vs Leamington?
Worcester City starts as the favourite with a 183-point Elo edge (1,834 vs 1,650).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Worcester City have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Leamington have 3, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Stamford(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Leighton Town(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Alvechurch(away) | 1-3 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Stratford Town(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Merthyr Town(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bury Town(away) | 0-3 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kettering Town(home) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Anstey Nomads(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Real Bedford(away) | 2-4 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Yate Town(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Worcester City win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Leamington win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2014 | Worcester City 2-0 Leamington | FA Cup |
| Oct 11, 2014 | Leamington 1-1 Worcester City | FA Cup |
Last archived meeting: Worcester City vs Leamington on Oct 14, 2014
How many goals should we expect?
Worcester City score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Leamington score 1.3 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Worcester City | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Leamington | 1.3 | 2.2 | 1 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Worcester City sit 19th in Non League Premier - Southern Central (1 points from 3 matches) and Leamington sit 17th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Leamington | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
| 19 | Worcester City | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Worcester City vs Leamington?
- The Footlab model makes Worcester City the favourite at 59%, against 22% for a draw and 19% for Leamington.
- Where and when is Worcester City vs Leamington played?
- Worcester City vs Leamington is played on April 3, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Claines Lane, in the Non League Premier - Southern Central.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 3, 2027StourbridgevsBanbury United
- Apr 3, 2027Bury TownvsLeighton Town
- Apr 3, 2027Bishop's StortfordvsBromsgrove Sporting
- Apr 3, 2027Needham MarketvsStratford Town
- Apr 3, 2027Redditch UnitedvsLeiston
- Apr 3, 2027Rushall OlympicvsStamford
- Apr 3, 2027Kettering TownvsHitchin Town
- Apr 3, 2027Anstey NomadsvsPeterborough Sports