Match

Needham Market vs Worcester City: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - Southern CentralRegular Season - 7Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Ecologic Stadium at Bloomfields, Needham Market, Suffolk

Needham MarketWorcester City

The Footlab model makes Worcester City the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Needham Market. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Needham Market vs Worcester City?

A very open match: only 33 Elo points separate Needham Market (1,763) and Worcester City (1,796).

Needham Market win32 %
Draw28 %
Worcester City win40 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Needham Market have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Worcester City have 5, 5 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Needham Market
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Halesowen Town(home)0-1Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 15, 2026Alvechurch(away)0-2Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 11, 2026Hitchin Town(away)3-1Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 8, 2026Bromsgrove Sporting(home)1-3Non League Premier - Southern Central
Apr 25, 2026Banbury United(home)0-2Non League Premier - Southern Central
Worcester City
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Stamford(home)1-0Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 15, 2026Leighton Town(away)1-2Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 11, 2026Alvechurch(away)1-3Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 8, 2026Stratford Town(away)1-1Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 1, 2026Merthyr Town(home)1-0Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Needham Market win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Worcester City win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 28, 2026Worcester City 1-0 Needham MarketNon League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 16, 2025Needham Market 1-0 Worcester CityNon League Premier - Southern Central

Last archived meeting: Worcester City vs Needham Market on Mar 28, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Needham Market score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Worcester City score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Needham Market1.41.338/158/15
Worcester City1.31.349/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Needham Market sit 14th in Non League Premier - Southern Central (3 points from 3 matches) and Worcester City sit 19th (1 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
14Needham Market3102463
19Worcester City3012361

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Needham Market vs Worcester City?
The Footlab model makes Worcester City the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Needham Market.
Where and when is Needham Market vs Worcester City played?
Needham Market vs Worcester City is played on September 12, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Ecologic Stadium at Bloomfields, in the Non League Premier - Southern Central.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Needham Market and Worcester City

Ready to know everything about football?