Needham Market vs Worcester City: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern CentralRegular Season - 7Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Ecologic Stadium at Bloomfields, Needham Market, Suffolk
The Footlab model makes Worcester City the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Needham Market. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Needham Market vs Worcester City?
A very open match: only 33 Elo points separate Needham Market (1,763) and Worcester City (1,796).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Needham Market have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Worcester City have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Halesowen Town(home) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Alvechurch(away) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Hitchin Town(away) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bromsgrove Sporting(home) | 1-3 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Banbury United(home) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Stamford(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Leighton Town(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Alvechurch(away) | 1-3 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Stratford Town(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Merthyr Town(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Needham Market win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Worcester City win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | Worcester City 1-0 Needham Market | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Needham Market 1-0 Worcester City | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
Last archived meeting: Worcester City vs Needham Market on Mar 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Needham Market score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Worcester City score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Needham Market | 1.4 | 1.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Worcester City | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Needham Market sit 14th in Non League Premier - Southern Central (3 points from 3 matches) and Worcester City sit 19th (1 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Needham Market | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 3 |
| 19 | Worcester City | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Needham Market vs Worcester City?
- The Footlab model makes Worcester City the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Needham Market.
- Where and when is Needham Market vs Worcester City played?
- Needham Market vs Worcester City is played on September 12, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Ecologic Stadium at Bloomfields, in the Non League Premier - Southern Central.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 12, 2026Hitchin TownvsStourbridge
- Sep 12, 2026Halesowen TownvsLeighton Town
- Sep 12, 2026AlvechurchvsStamford
- Sep 12, 2026Banbury UnitedvsLeiston
- Sep 12, 2026Bishop's StortfordvsLeamington
- Sep 12, 2026Bromsgrove SportingvsBury Town
- Sep 12, 2026Peterborough SportsvsRushall Olympic
- Sep 12, 2026Kettering TownvsStratford Town