Match

Don Benito vs Estepona: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 33Kick-off on May 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Vicente Sanz, Don Benito

Don BenitoEstepona

The Footlab AI model makes Don Benito the favourite at 48%, against 28% for a draw and 24% for Estepona. The most likely score is 1-1. If Don Benito wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,857 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Don Benito vs Estepona?

A very open match: only 2 Elo points separate Don Benito (1,937) and Estepona (1,939).

48%28%24%
Don Benito winDrawEstepona win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Don Benito vs Estepona

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Don Benito

Not enough data to predict the Don Benito lineup.

Estepona

4-3-3
  1. 20Daniel Sancho
  2. 10Ale Conteras
  3. 16D. Ballarin
  1. 15Javi Duarte
  2. 6J. Aguilera
  3. 17S. Baradji
  1. 26A. Gonzalez
  2. 3A. Candelas
  3. 5Titi Fernández
  4. 22José Caro
  1. 1J. Ruiz

Computed on October 20, 2026 at 05:40 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Don Benito have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Estepona have 8, 5 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Don Benito
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026Atlético Central(home)4-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Oct 11, 2026Ciudad de Lucena(away)2-4Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Oct 3, 2026Estepona(away)1-3Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Sep 26, 2026Sanluqueño(home)1-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Sep 20, 2026Xerez(away)0-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Estepona
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026Marbella(away)0-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Oct 11, 2026Atlético Central(home)3-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Oct 3, 2026Don Benito(home)3-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Sep 27, 2026Tenerife II(away)1-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Sep 19, 2026Puente Genil(away)2-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 4

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 0 Don Benito wins, 2 draws, 3 Estepona wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 3, 2026Estepona 3-1 Don BenitoSegunda División RFEF - Group 4
May 4, 2025Estepona 1-1 Don BenitoSegunda División RFEF - Group 4
Dec 22, 2024Don Benito 1-2 EsteponaSegunda División RFEF - Group 4
Feb 5, 2023Estepona 0-0 Don BenitoSegunda División RFEF - Group 5
Sep 18, 2022Don Benito 0-2 EsteponaSegunda División RFEF - Group 5

Last archived meeting: Estepona vs Don Benito on Oct 3, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Don Benito score 1.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Estepona score 1.7 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Don Benito1.90.977/156/15
Estepona1.71.2411/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Don Benito sit 4th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 (13 points from 7 matches) and Estepona sit 7th (11 points from 7 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Don Benito7412131013
7Estepona732210911

A question about Don Benito vs Estepona?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Don Benito vs Estepona?
The Footlab AI model makes Don Benito the favourite at 48%, against 28% for a draw and 24% for Estepona.
Where and when is Don Benito vs Estepona played?
Don Benito vs Estepona is played on May 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Vicente Sanz, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Don Benito and Estepona

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