Match

Sevilla Atletico vs Atlético Central: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 33Kick-off on May 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Jesús Navas, Sevilla

Sevilla AtleticoAtlético Central

The Footlab model makes Sevilla Atletico the favourite at 36%, against 31% for a draw and 33% for Atlético Central. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Sevilla Atletico vs Atlético Central?

A very open match: only 91 Elo points separate Sevilla Atletico (1,765) and Atlético Central (1,856).

Sevilla Atletico win36 %
Draw31 %
Atlético Central win33 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sevilla Atletico have 1 wins, 5 draws and 9 defeats; Atlético Central have 7, 4 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Sevilla Atletico
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 23, 2026Alcorcon(home)1-1Primera División RFEF - Group 2
May 16, 2026Villarreal II(away)0-2Primera División RFEF - Group 2
May 10, 2026Eldense(home)2-2Primera División RFEF - Group 2
May 2, 2026Gimnastic(away)1-2Primera División RFEF - Group 2
Apr 26, 2026Algeciras(home)0-2Primera División RFEF - Group 2
Atlético Central
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Jun 20, 2026Caudal(away)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs
Jun 14, 2026Caudal(home)2-0Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs
Jun 7, 2026Dos Hermanas(away)4-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 10
May 31, 2026Dos Hermanas(home)1-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 10
May 23, 2026Bollullos(home)2-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 10

How many goals should we expect?

Sevilla Atletico score 0.6 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Atlético Central score 1.2 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Sevilla Atletico0.61.527/155/15
Atlético Central1.20.776/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Sevilla Atletico vs Atlético Central?
The Footlab model makes Sevilla Atletico the favourite at 36%, against 31% for a draw and 33% for Atlético Central.
Where and when is Sevilla Atletico vs Atlético Central played?
Sevilla Atletico vs Atlético Central is played on May 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Jesús Navas, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Sevilla Atletico and Atlético Central

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