Sanluqueño vs Atlético Paso: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 33Kick-off on May 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio El Palmar, Sanlúcar de Barrameda
The Footlab model makes Atlético Paso the favourite at 36%, against 31% for a draw and 33% for Sanluqueño. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sanluqueño vs Atlético Paso?
Atlético Paso starts as the favourite with a 121-point Elo edge (1,876 vs 1,755).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sanluqueño have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Atlético Paso have 7, 8 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Villarreal II(home) | 1-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| May 16, 2026 | Teruel(away) | 0-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| May 9, 2026 | Algeciras(home) | 0-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| May 3, 2026 | Ibiza(away) | 0-4 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Alcorcon(home) | 0-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Herbania(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| May 3, 2026 | Las Palmas III(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Panadería Pulido(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Telde(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Marino(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
How many goals should we expect?
Sanluqueño score 0.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Atlético Paso score 1.4 and concede 0.4. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sanluqueño | 0.5 | 1.5 | 4 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Atlético Paso | 1.4 | 0.4 | 9 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sanluqueño vs Atlético Paso?
- The Footlab model makes Atlético Paso the favourite at 36%, against 31% for a draw and 33% for Sanluqueño.
- Where and when is Sanluqueño vs Atlético Paso played?
- Sanluqueño vs Atlético Paso is played on May 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Palmar, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.