Match

Frome Town vs Gloucester City: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 14Kick-off on October 21, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)AlderSmith Stadium, Frome, Somerset

Frome TownGloucester City

The Footlab model makes Frome Town the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Gloucester City. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Frome Town vs Gloucester City?

A very open match: only 17 Elo points separate Frome Town (1,877) and Gloucester City (1,860).

Frome Town win49 %
Draw24 %
Gloucester City win27 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Frome Town have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Gloucester City have 9, 1 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Frome Town
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Gosport Borough(home)1-2Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 15, 2026Havant & Wville(away)0-1Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 11, 2026Evesham United(away)4-0Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 8, 2026Wimborne Town(home)2-0Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 1, 2026Weymouth(home)0-0Friendlies Clubs
Gloucester City
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Hanwell Town(home)1-0Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 15, 2026Wimborne Town(away)1-1Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 11, 2026Bracknell Town(away)2-3Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 8, 2026Chertsey Town(home)0-1Non League Premier - Southern South
Jul 31, 2026Weston-super-Mare(away)1-0Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Frome Town win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Gloucester City win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 25, 2025Frome Town 0-0 Gloucester CityNon League Premier - Southern South
Oct 15, 2024Gloucester City 2-0 Frome TownNon League Premier - Southern South

Last archived meeting: Frome Town vs Gloucester City on Jan 25, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Frome Town score 1.8 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Gloucester City score 1.6 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Frome Town1.80.785/157/15
Gloucester City1.61.267/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Frome Town sit 7th in Non League Premier - Southern South (6 points from 4 matches) and Gloucester City sit 15th (4 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7Frome Town4202736
15Gloucester City4112454

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Frome Town vs Gloucester City?
The Footlab model makes Frome Town the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Gloucester City.
Where and when is Frome Town vs Gloucester City played?
Frome Town vs Gloucester City is played on October 21, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at AlderSmith Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Frome Town and Gloucester City

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