Frome Town vs Gloucester City: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 14Kick-off on October 21, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)AlderSmith Stadium, Frome, Somerset
The Footlab model makes Frome Town the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Gloucester City. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Frome Town vs Gloucester City?
A very open match: only 17 Elo points separate Frome Town (1,877) and Gloucester City (1,860).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Frome Town have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Gloucester City have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Gosport Borough(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Havant & Wville(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Evesham United(away) | 4-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Wimborne Town(home) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Weymouth(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hanwell Town(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Wimborne Town(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Bracknell Town(away) | 2-3 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Chertsey Town(home) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Weston-super-Mare(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Frome Town win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Gloucester City win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2025 | Frome Town 0-0 Gloucester City | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Oct 15, 2024 | Gloucester City 2-0 Frome Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
Last archived meeting: Frome Town vs Gloucester City on Jan 25, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Frome Town score 1.8 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Gloucester City score 1.6 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frome Town | 1.8 | 0.7 | 8 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Gloucester City | 1.6 | 1.2 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Frome Town sit 7th in Non League Premier - Southern South (6 points from 4 matches) and Gloucester City sit 15th (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Frome Town | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 6 |
| 15 | Gloucester City | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Frome Town vs Gloucester City?
- The Footlab model makes Frome Town the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Gloucester City.
- Where and when is Frome Town vs Gloucester City played?
- Frome Town vs Gloucester City is played on October 21, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at AlderSmith Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 20, 2026Wimborne TownvsGosport Borough
- Oct 20, 2026UxbridgevsMalvern Town
- Oct 20, 2026Basingstoke TownvsPlymouth Parkway
- Oct 20, 2026Chertsey TownvsEvesham United
- Oct 20, 2026Chichester CityvsBerkhamsted
- Oct 20, 2026Poole TownvsHanwell Town
- Oct 20, 2026Yate TownvsSholing
- Oct 20, 2026Bath CityvsHavant & Wville