Yelimay Semey vs Okzhetpes: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 30Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Spartak, Semipalatinsk
The Footlab model makes Yelimay Semey the favourite at 54%, against 23% for a draw and 23% for Okzhetpes. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Yelimay Semey vs Okzhetpes?
A very open match: only 65 Elo points separate Yelimay Semey (1,627) and Okzhetpes (1,562).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Yelimay Semey have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Okzhetpes have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Kaspiy(away) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Irtysh(home) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Zhenys(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Kaisar(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Ordabasy(away) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Atyrau(away) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | FC Astana(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Altay(home) | 4-1 | Premier League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Aktobe(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Zhetysu(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Yelimay Semey win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Okzhetpes win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | Okzhetpes 1-1 Yelimay Semey | Premier League |
| Aug 2, 2025 | Okzhetpes 1-1 Yelimay Semey | Premier League |
| May 4, 2025 | Yelimay Semey 0-2 Okzhetpes | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Okzhetpes vs Yelimay Semey on Mar 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Yelimay Semey score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Okzhetpes score 1.4 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yelimay Semey | 1.4 | 1.3 | 3 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
| Okzhetpes | 1.4 | 1.4 | 6 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Yelimay Semey sit 6th in Premier League (32 points from 21 matches) and Okzhetpes sit 4th (36 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Okzhetpes | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 32 | 29 | 36 |
| 6 | Yelimay Semey | 21 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 31 | 26 | 32 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Yelimay Semey vs Okzhetpes?
- The Footlab model makes Yelimay Semey the favourite at 54%, against 23% for a draw and 23% for Okzhetpes.
- Where and when is Yelimay Semey vs Okzhetpes played?
- Yelimay Semey vs Okzhetpes is played on November 1, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Spartak, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.