Irtysh vs Ordabasy: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 30Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Ortalıq Stadion, Pavlodar
The Footlab AI model makes Ordabasy the favourite at 68%, against 20% for a draw and 12% for Irtysh. The most likely score is 0-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Irtysh vs Ordabasy?
Ordabasy starts as the favourite with a 245-point Elo edge (1,736 vs 1,491).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Irtysh vs Ordabasy
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Irtysh
4-2-3-1- 9Leonardo Kalil
- 6Y. Shimamura
- 8D. Esimbekov
- 97J. Poé
- 35Lucas Ramos
- 98Z. Sultaniiazov
- 12R. Karimov
- 4D. Slambekov
- 66Sagi Malikaydar
- 56R. Yudenkov
- 1M. Rikhard
Ordabasy
3-4-2-1- 28B. Johnsen
- 77D. Abagna
- 22S. Astanov
- 15Z. Amir
- 11Y. Vakulko
- 16M. Căpățînă
- 44T. Keita
- 25S. Maliy
- 5N. Antić
- 55A. Amanović
- 1B. Shaizada
Computed on October 8, 2026 at 12:51 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Irtysh have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Ordabasy have 12, 0 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 18, 2026 | Altay(away) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Okzhetpes(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Zhetysu(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Aktobe(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | FK Tobol Kostanay(home) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 17, 2026 | Atyrau(away) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | FC Astana(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Okzhetpes(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Kyzyl-Zhar(home) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Altay(away) | 2-1 | Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Irtysh win, 1 draw, 4 Ordabasy wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | Ordabasy 2-2 Irtysh | Premier League |
| Oct 26, 2019 | Ordabasy 2-0 Irtysh | Premier League |
| Jul 28, 2019 | Ordabasy 1-0 Irtysh | Premier League |
| May 11, 2019 | Irtysh 0-2 Ordabasy | Premier League |
| Sep 22, 2018 | Ordabasy 0-2 Irtysh | Premier League |
| Jul 15, 2018 | Irtysh 1-2 Ordabasy | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Irtysh score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Ordabasy score 2.1 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Irtysh | 1.1 | 1.3 | 2 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Ordabasy | 2.1 | 0.7 | 8 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Irtysh sit 11th in Premier League (26 points from 25 matches) and Ordabasy sit 1st (58 points from 25 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ordabasy | 25 | 18 | 4 | 3 | 48 | 18 | 58 |
| 11 | Irtysh | 25 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 26 | 34 | 26 |
A question about Irtysh vs Ordabasy?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Irtysh vs Ordabasy?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ordabasy the favourite at 68%, against 20% for a draw and 12% for Irtysh.
- Where and when is Irtysh vs Ordabasy played?
- Irtysh vs Ordabasy is played on November 1, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Ortalıq Stadion, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.