Kaspiy vs Kyzyl-Zhar: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 30Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Jas kanat, Aktau
The Footlab AI model makes Kaspiy the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Kyzyl-Zhar. The most likely score is 1-1. If Kaspiy wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,451 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kaspiy vs Kyzyl-Zhar?
A very open match: only 48 Elo points separate Kaspiy (1,538) and Kyzyl-Zhar (1,490).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Kaspiy vs Kyzyl-Zhar
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Kaspiy
4-2-3-1- 9R. Abylaykhan
- 15D. Epton
- 26P. Sedko
- 17V. Klimovich
- 11N. Ndombasi
- 47D. Usenov
- 30Bernardo Morgado
- 14A. Amaral
- 19M. Taykenov
- 21D. Aripov
- 24Dinmukhammed Zhomart
Kyzyl-Zhar
4-2-3-1- 13S. Bahoken
- 8Y. Makarenko
- 55O. Noyok
- 77L. Latifi
- 27N. Gubarev
- 11A. Cheredinov
- 28S. Urošević
- 71Aleksandr Sokolenko
- 22A. Kozlenko
- 22A. Kozlenko
- 1D. Celeadnic
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 08:08 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kaspiy have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Kyzyl-Zhar have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Altay(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Zhetysu(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Aktobe(home) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Kairat Almaty(home) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Aug 30, 2026 | FK Tobol Kostanay(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Irtysh(away) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Kaisar(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Zhenys(away) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Atyrau(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Ordabasy(away) | 0-3 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Kaspiy win, 2 draws, 3 Kyzyl-Zhar wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | Kyzyl-Zhar 2-1 Kaspiy | Premier League |
| Aug 19, 2023 | Kaspiy 1-2 Kyzyl-Zhar | Premier League |
| Apr 22, 2023 | Kyzyl-Zhar 1-1 Kaspiy | Premier League |
| Nov 6, 2022 | Kyzyl-Zhar 4-1 Kaspiy | Premier League |
| Aug 7, 2022 | Kyzyl-Zhar 1-3 Kaspiy | Cup |
| Jul 10, 2022 | Kaspiy 1-1 Kyzyl-Zhar | Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Kaspiy score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Kyzyl-Zhar score 1.0 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaspiy | 1.5 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Kyzyl-Zhar | 1.0 | 1.7 | 1 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kaspiy sit 10th in Premier League (32 points from 27 matches) and Kyzyl-Zhar sit 11th (28 points from 27 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Kaspiy | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 29 | 37 | 32 |
| 11 | Kyzyl-Zhar | 27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 30 | 39 | 28 |
A question about Kaspiy vs Kyzyl-Zhar?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kaspiy vs Kyzyl-Zhar?
- The Footlab AI model makes Kaspiy the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Kyzyl-Zhar.
- Where and when is Kaspiy vs Kyzyl-Zhar played?
- Kaspiy vs Kyzyl-Zhar is played on November 1, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Jas kanat, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.