Zhetysu vs FC Astana: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 30Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Ortalyq stadıon Jetisu, Taldykorgan
The Footlab model makes FC Astana the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Zhetysu. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Zhetysu vs FC Astana?
FC Astana starts as the favourite with a 261-point Elo edge (1,685 vs 1,424).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Zhetysu have 1 wins, 4 draws and 10 defeats; FC Astana have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Zhenys(away) | 1-4 | Premier League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Ordabasy(home) | 0-4 | Premier League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Atyrau(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Kyzyl-Zhar(home) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Okzhetpes(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Kyzyl-Zhar(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Okzhetpes(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Ulytau(away) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Altay(home) | 4-1 | Premier League |
| Jul 16, 2026 | Dinamo Tirana(home) | 1-4 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Zhetysu win(s), 0 draw(s), 6 FC Astana win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | FC Astana 4-1 Zhetysu | Premier League |
| Jul 6, 2025 | Zhetysu 0-2 FC Astana | Premier League |
| Mar 30, 2025 | FC Astana 3-0 Zhetysu | Premier League |
| Nov 10, 2024 | FC Astana 5-0 Zhetysu | Premier League |
| Mar 5, 2024 | Zhetysu 0-2 FC Astana | Premier League |
| Oct 21, 2023 | FC Astana 2-1 Zhetysu | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Zhetysu score 1.0 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; FC Astana score 1.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zhetysu | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| FC Astana | 1.7 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Zhetysu sit 14th in Premier League (19 points from 22 matches) and FC Astana sit 3rd (39 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | FC Astana | 21 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 34 | 22 | 39 |
| 14 | Zhetysu | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 24 | 38 | 19 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Zhetysu vs FC Astana?
- The Footlab model makes FC Astana the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Zhetysu.
- Where and when is Zhetysu vs FC Astana played?
- Zhetysu vs FC Astana is played on November 1, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Ortalyq stadıon Jetisu, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.