Match

Coastal Union vs Fountain Gate: prediction and stats

Ligi kuu BaraMatchday 14Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Mkwakwani Stadium, Tanga

Coastal UnionFountain Gate

The Footlab AI model makes Coastal Union the favourite at 55%, against 27% for a draw and 18% for Fountain Gate. The most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,506 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 12, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Coastal Union vs Fountain Gate?

Coastal Union starts as the favourite with a 113-point Elo edge (1,619 vs 1,506).

55%27%18%
Coastal Union winDrawFountain Gate win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Coastal Union vs Fountain Gate

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Coastal Union

4-3-3
  1. 7M. Andrea
  2. 9M. M. Maabad
  3. 25S. Kichuya
  1. 8G. Manyasi
  2. 6S. Mwanza
  3. 13K. Gradi
  1. 5A. Laurent
  2. 2R. Aidan
  3. 24S. Chuku
  4. 5A. A. Msangi
  1. 1C. Ramadhani

Fountain Gate

4-3-3
  1. 22S. Said
  2. 78A. Athuman
  3. 53Hashimu Kindemile
  1. 9C. Obasi
  2. 60S. Mgunda
  3. 33P. Shaban
  1. 15D. Mukombozi
  2. 6O. Awara
  3. 19A. Mtambi
  4. 33S. Hassan
  1. 28M. Kilusomo

Computed on November 12, 2026 at 08:12 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Coastal Union have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Fountain Gate have 2, 4 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Coastal Union
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 31, 2026Dodoma Jiji(home)0-0Ligi kuu Bara
Oct 28, 2026Kagera Sugar(home)1-0Ligi kuu Bara
Oct 24, 2026Namungo(away)1-2Ligi kuu Bara
Oct 12, 2026Singida Black Stars(home)1-0Ligi kuu Bara
Oct 9, 2026Azam(home)0-2Ligi kuu Bara
Fountain Gate
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 2, 2026Tabora United(away)2-3Ligi kuu Bara
Oct 29, 2026Simba(home)0-1Ligi kuu Bara
Oct 26, 2026Geita Gold(away)1-1Ligi kuu Bara
Oct 16, 2026Pamba Jiji(home)1-1Ligi kuu Bara
Oct 9, 2026JKT Tanzania(home)1-2Ligi kuu Bara

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Coastal Union wins, 1 draw, 3 Fountain Gate wins.

DateScoreCompetition
May 5, 2026Fountain Gate 3-2 Coastal UnionLigi kuu Bara
Oct 22, 2025Coastal Union 1-1 Fountain GateLigi kuu Bara
Jun 18, 2025Coastal Union 1-0 Fountain GateLigi kuu Bara
Dec 13, 2024Fountain Gate 3-2 Coastal UnionLigi kuu Bara
May 10, 2024Coastal Union 2-0 Fountain GateLigi kuu Bara
Nov 27, 2023Fountain Gate 2-1 Coastal UnionLigi kuu Bara

Last archived meeting: Fountain Gate vs Coastal Union on May 5, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Coastal Union score 1.0 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Fountain Gate score 0.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Coastal Union1.01.238/156/15
Fountain Gate0.71.526/154/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Coastal Union sit 10th in Ligi kuu Bara (14 points from 11 matches) and Fountain Gate sit 15th (6 points from 11 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
10Coastal Union1142591314
15Fountain Gate111377176

A question about Coastal Union vs Fountain Gate?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Coastal Union vs Fountain Gate?
The Footlab AI model makes Coastal Union the favourite at 55%, against 27% for a draw and 18% for Fountain Gate.
Where and when is Coastal Union vs Fountain Gate played?
Coastal Union vs Fountain Gate is played on December 5, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Mkwakwani Stadium, in the Ligi kuu Bara.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Coastal Union and Fountain Gate