Singida Black Stars vs Geita Gold: prediction and stats
Ligi kuu BaraRegular Season - 14Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Liti Stadium, Singida
The Footlab model makes Singida Black Stars the favourite at 60%, against 23% for a draw and 17% for Geita Gold. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Singida Black Stars vs Geita Gold?
Singida Black Stars starts as the favourite with a 198-point Elo edge (1,672 vs 1,474).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Singida Black Stars have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Geita Gold have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Simba(home) | 1-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Kagera Sugar(away) | 1-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Fountain Gate(home) | 3-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Simba(home) | 1-2 | CECAFA Club Cup |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Mogadishu City(away) | 4-1 | CECAFA Club Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kagera Sugar(home) | 6-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Namungo(away) | 0-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Mbeya City(away) | 1-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| May 28, 2024 | Azam(home) | 0-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| May 25, 2024 | Fountain Gate(away) | 1-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
How many goals should we expect?
Singida Black Stars score 2.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Geita Gold score 0.9 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Singida Black Stars | 2.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Geita Gold | 0.9 | 1.4 | 4 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Singida Black Stars sit 8th in Ligi kuu Bara (4 points from 3 matches) and Geita Gold sit 5th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Geita Gold | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 6 |
| 8 | Singida Black Stars | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Singida Black Stars vs Geita Gold?
- The Footlab model makes Singida Black Stars the favourite at 60%, against 23% for a draw and 17% for Geita Gold.
- Where and when is Singida Black Stars vs Geita Gold played?
- Singida Black Stars vs Geita Gold is played on December 5, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Liti Stadium, in the Ligi kuu Bara.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.