Tabora United vs Polisi Tanzania: prediction and stats
Ligi kuu BaraRegular Season - 14Kick-off on December 4, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Ali Hassan Mwinyi Stadium, Tabora
The Footlab model makes Tabora United the favourite at 46%, against 31% for a draw and 23% for Polisi Tanzania. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tabora United vs Polisi Tanzania?
A very open match: only 87 Elo points separate Tabora United (1,577) and Polisi Tanzania (1,490).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tabora United have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Polisi Tanzania have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Coastal Union(away) | 1-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Azam(away) | 1-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 16, 2026 | JKT Tanzania(away) | 1-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 30, 2026 | Mbeya City(away) | 0-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Young Africans(away) | 0-3 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Dodoma Jiji(away) | 1-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 20, 2026 | JKT Tanzania(home) | 2-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Azam(home) | 1-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jul 16, 2026 | Tanzania Prisons(away) | 0-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 9, 2023 | Azam(away) | 0-8 | Ligi kuu Bara |
How many goals should we expect?
Tabora United score 1.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Polisi Tanzania score 1.0 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 35% probability of over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tabora United | 1.1 | 0.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Polisi Tanzania | 1.0 | 1.7 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tabora United sit 11th in Ligi kuu Bara (2 points from 3 matches) and Polisi Tanzania sit 3rd (7 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Polisi Tanzania | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 7 |
| 11 | Tabora United | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tabora United vs Polisi Tanzania?
- The Footlab model makes Tabora United the favourite at 46%, against 31% for a draw and 23% for Polisi Tanzania.
- Where and when is Tabora United vs Polisi Tanzania played?
- Tabora United vs Polisi Tanzania is played on December 4, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Ali Hassan Mwinyi Stadium, in the Ligi kuu Bara.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 35% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.