Mbeya City vs Pamba Jiji: prediction and stats
Ligi kuu BaraRegular Season - 14Kick-off on December 4, 2026 at 01:15 PM (UTC)Sokoine Stadium, Mbeya
The Footlab AI model makes Mbeya City the favourite at 37%, against 30% for a draw and 33% for Pamba Jiji. The most likely score is 1-1. If Mbeya City wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,930 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mbeya City vs Pamba Jiji?
A very open match: only 4 Elo points separate Mbeya City (1,537) and Pamba Jiji (1,541).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Mbeya City vs Pamba Jiji
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Mbeya City
4-3-3- 22V. Mayanga
- 10E. Ambokile
- 49O. Mwajanga
- 20H. Haji
- 32O. Abdallah
- 21J. Mwanuke
- 14Nassor Mbarouk
- 4K. Pillar
- 26A. Buha
- 60B. Maranyingi
- 31T. Reuben
Pamba Jiji
4-3-3- 21S. Karabaka
- 20S. Oyugi Siwa
- 54H. Msabila
- 26J. Ochieng
- 42I. Diomande
- 40F. Kundo
- 25Abdalla Salum Kheri
- 2A. Machupa
- 32A. Said
- 3I. Abraham
- 18E. Johola
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 07:46 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mbeya City have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Pamba Jiji have 3, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | JKT Tanzania(away) | 1-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Kagera Sugar(home) | 1-3 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Polisi Tanzania(away) | 0-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Tabora United(away) | 0-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Fountain Gate(away) | 2-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Fountain Gate(away) | 1-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Oct 8, 2026 | Geita Gold(home) | 4-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Tabora United(home) | 1-3 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Sep 5, 2026 | JKT Tanzania(away) | 0-3 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Young Africans(away) | 0-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Mbeya City win, 1 draw, 0 Pamba Jiji wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 24, 2026 | Pamba Jiji 0-2 Mbeya City | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Mbeya City 1-1 Pamba Jiji | Ligi kuu Bara |
Last archived meeting: Pamba Jiji vs Mbeya City on Jun 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Mbeya City score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Pamba Jiji score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mbeya City | 0.9 | 1.1 | 6 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Pamba Jiji | 1.3 | 1.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mbeya City sit 9th in Ligi kuu Bara (10 points from 8 matches) and Pamba Jiji sit 15th (5 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Mbeya City | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
| 15 | Pamba Jiji | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 5 |
A question about Mbeya City vs Pamba Jiji?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mbeya City vs Pamba Jiji?
- The Footlab AI model makes Mbeya City the favourite at 37%, against 30% for a draw and 33% for Pamba Jiji.
- Where and when is Mbeya City vs Pamba Jiji played?
- Mbeya City vs Pamba Jiji is played on December 4, 2026 at 01:15 PM (UTC) at Sokoine Stadium, in the Ligi kuu Bara.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.