Mbeya City vs Pamba Jiji: prediction and stats
Ligi kuu BaraRegular Season - 14Kick-off on December 4, 2026 at 01:15 PM (UTC)Sokoine Stadium, Mbeya
The Footlab model makes Mbeya City the favourite at 40%, against 30% for a draw and 30% for Pamba Jiji. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mbeya City vs Pamba Jiji?
A very open match: only 7 Elo points separate Mbeya City (1,506) and Pamba Jiji (1,499).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mbeya City have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Pamba Jiji have 3, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Mashujaa(home) | 2-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Dodoma Jiji(home) | 2-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Geita Gold(home) | 0-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 30, 2026 | Tabora United(home) | 0-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Dodoma Jiji(away) | 1-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Azam(away) | 1-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Simba(home) | 1-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Dodoma Jiji(home) | 1-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 30, 2026 | Coastal Union(away) | 1-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 27, 2026 | JKT Tanzania(home) | 1-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Mbeya City win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Pamba Jiji win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 24, 2026 | Pamba Jiji 0-2 Mbeya City | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Mbeya City 1-1 Pamba Jiji | Ligi kuu Bara |
Last archived meeting: Pamba Jiji vs Mbeya City on Jun 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Mbeya City score 0.8 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Pamba Jiji score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mbeya City | 0.8 | 1.3 | 5 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
| Pamba Jiji | 1.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mbeya City sit 5th in Ligi kuu Bara (6 points from 3 matches) and Pamba Jiji sit 12th (1 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Mbeya City | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| 12 | Pamba Jiji | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mbeya City vs Pamba Jiji?
- The Footlab model makes Mbeya City the favourite at 40%, against 30% for a draw and 30% for Pamba Jiji.
- Where and when is Mbeya City vs Pamba Jiji played?
- Mbeya City vs Pamba Jiji is played on December 4, 2026 at 01:15 PM (UTC) at Sokoine Stadium, in the Ligi kuu Bara.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.