Zabreh vs Havířov: prediction and stats
CupRound of 64Kick-off on August 26, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC)Městský stadion Zábřeh, Zábřeh na Morave
The Footlab model makes Havířov the favourite at 57%, against 20% for a draw and 22% for Zabreh. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Zabreh vs Havířov?
A very open match: only 24 Elo points separate Zabreh (1,686) and Havířov (1,710).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Zabreh have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Havířov have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Bílovec(home) | 2-1 | 4. liga - Divizie F |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Ráječko(away) | 5-2 | Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Břidličná(away) | 2-0 | 4. liga - Divizie F |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Hranice(home) | 2-2 | Cup |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Nový Jičín(home) | 7-2 | 4. liga - Divizie F |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Hranice(away) | 0-6 | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Karviná II(home) | 2-2 | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Belotin(away) | 3-1 | Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Vítkovice(away) | 1-1 | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Zlín II(home) | 0-1 | 3. liga - MSFL |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Zabreh win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Havířov win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Havířov 4-1 Zabreh | 4. liga - Divizie F |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Zabreh 0-1 Havířov | 4. liga - Divizie F |
How many goals should we expect?
Zabreh score 2.4 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Havířov score 1.7 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 74% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zabreh | 2.4 | 1.4 | 3 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Havířov | 1.7 | 1.9 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Zabreh vs Havířov?
- The Footlab model makes Havířov the favourite at 57%, against 20% for a draw and 22% for Zabreh.
- Where and when is Zabreh vs Havířov played?
- Zabreh vs Havířov is played on August 26, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC) at Městský stadion Zábřeh, in the Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 74% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.