Barycz Sułów vs Zagłębie Lubin II: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 3Group III - 10Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Barycz Sułów the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for Zagłębie Lubin II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Barycz Sułów vs Zagłębie Lubin II?
A very open match: only 18 Elo points separate Barycz Sułów (1,756) and Zagłębie Lubin II (1,774).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 10 matches in all competitions, Barycz Sułów have 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Zagłębie Lubin II have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | ROW Rybnik(home) | 4-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Karkonosze Jelenia Góra(away) | 0-3 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Warta Gorzów(home) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Miedź Legnica II(away) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kluczbork(home) | 2-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Miedź Legnica II(home) | 3-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Kluczbork(away) | 3-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Rakow II(home) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Polonia Nysa(away) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Sparta Katowice(home) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
How many goals should we expect?
Barycz Sułów score 1.6 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 10; Zagłębie Lubin II score 1.7 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barycz Sułów | 1.6 | 1.2 | 3 | 6/10 | 7/10 |
| Zagłębie Lubin II | 1.7 | 2.0 | 2 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 10 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Barycz Sułów sit 4th in III Liga - Group 3 (10 points from 5 matches) and Zagłębie Lubin II sit 2nd (11 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Zagłębie Lubin II | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 7 | 11 |
| 4 | Barycz Sułów | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 10 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Barycz Sułów vs Zagłębie Lubin II?
- The Footlab model makes Barycz Sułów the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for Zagłębie Lubin II.
- Where and when is Barycz Sułów vs Zagłębie Lubin II played?
- Barycz Sułów vs Zagłębie Lubin II is played on September 26, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC), in the III Liga - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 26, 2026Zaglebie SosnowiecvsSłowianin
- Sep 26, 2026ROW RybnikvsStal Brzeg
- Sep 26, 2026Górnik PolkowicevsOdra Bytom Odrzański
- Sep 26, 2026KluczborkvsSKRA Częstochowa
- Sep 26, 2026Miedź Legnica IIvsSparta Katowice
- Sep 26, 2026Warta GorzówvsŚlęza Wrocław
- Sep 26, 2026Carina GubinvsStilon Gorzów
- Sep 26, 2026Karkonosze Jelenia GóravsGoczałkowice Zdrój