Zagłębie Lubin II vs Stilon Gorzów: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 3Group III - 14Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)KGHM Zagłębie Arena, Lubin
The Footlab model makes Zagłębie Lubin II the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for Stilon Gorzów. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Zagłębie Lubin II vs Stilon Gorzów?
A very open match: only 50 Elo points separate Zagłębie Lubin II (1,774) and Stilon Gorzów (1,724).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Zagłębie Lubin II have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Stilon Gorzów have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Miedź Legnica II(home) | 3-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Kluczbork(away) | 3-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Rakow II(home) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Polonia Nysa(away) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Sparta Katowice(home) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kluczbork(home) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Rakow II(away) | 4-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Polonia Nysa(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sparta Katowice(away) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Ślęza Wrocław(home) | 3-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Zagłębie Lubin II win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Stilon Gorzów win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 10, 2024 | Zagłębie Lubin II 4-2 Stilon Gorzów | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Zagłębie Lubin II vs Stilon Gorzów on Jul 10, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Zagłębie Lubin II score 1.7 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Stilon Gorzów score 1.7 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zagłębie Lubin II | 1.7 | 2.0 | 2 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
| Stilon Gorzów | 1.7 | 1.2 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Zagłębie Lubin II sit 2nd in III Liga - Group 3 (11 points from 5 matches) and Stilon Gorzów sit 11th (7 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Zagłębie Lubin II | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 7 | 11 |
| 11 | Stilon Gorzów | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Zagłębie Lubin II vs Stilon Gorzów?
- The Footlab model makes Zagłębie Lubin II the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for Stilon Gorzów.
- Where and when is Zagłębie Lubin II vs Stilon Gorzów played?
- Zagłębie Lubin II vs Stilon Gorzów is played on October 24, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at KGHM Zagłębie Arena, in the III Liga - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 24, 2026Zaglebie SosnowiecvsMiedź Legnica II
- Oct 24, 2026ROW RybnikvsSKRA Częstochowa
- Oct 24, 2026Górnik PolkowicevsGoczałkowice Zdrój
- Oct 24, 2026Warta GorzówvsKluczbork
- Oct 24, 2026Carina GubinvsSparta Katowice
- Oct 24, 2026Karkonosze Jelenia GóravsSłowianin
- Oct 24, 2026Odra Bytom OdrzańskivsStal Brzeg
- Oct 24, 2026Barycz SułówvsŚlęza Wrocław