Match

Raków Częstochowa vs Cracovia Krakow: prediction and stats

EkstraklasaRegular Season - 21Kick-off on February 13, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Miejski Stadion Piłkarski Raków, Częstochowa

Raków CzęstochowaCracovia Krakow

The Footlab model makes Raków Częstochowa the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for Cracovia Krakow. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Raków Częstochowa vs Cracovia Krakow?

A very open match: only 85 Elo points separate Raków Częstochowa (2,034) and Cracovia Krakow (1,949).

Raków Częstochowa win53 %
Draw25 %
Cracovia Krakow win22 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Raków Częstochowa have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Cracovia Krakow have 5, 8 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Raków Częstochowa
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 20, 2026HNK Hajduk Split(away)2-2UEFA Europa Conference League
Aug 16, 2026Cracovia Krakow(away)1-2Ekstraklasa
Aug 13, 2026Hammarby FF(away)1-0UEFA Europa Conference League
Aug 6, 2026Hammarby FF(home)0-0UEFA Europa Conference League
Aug 2, 2026Slask Wroclaw(away)1-2Ekstraklasa
Cracovia Krakow
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Wieczysta Kraków(home)3-2Ekstraklasa
Aug 16, 2026Raków Częstochowa(home)2-1Ekstraklasa
Aug 9, 2026Slask Wroclaw(away)0-0Ekstraklasa
Aug 3, 2026Pogon Szczecin(home)0-2Ekstraklasa
Jul 25, 2026Lech Poznan(away)0-0Ekstraklasa

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Raków Częstochowa win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Cracovia Krakow win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 16, 2026Cracovia Krakow 2-1 Raków CzęstochowaEkstraklasa
Apr 19, 2026Raków Częstochowa 4-1 Cracovia KrakowEkstraklasa
Oct 29, 2025Raków Częstochowa 3-0 Cracovia KrakowCup
Oct 18, 2025Cracovia Krakow 2-0 Raków CzęstochowaEkstraklasa
Feb 1, 2025Cracovia Krakow 0-0 Raków CzęstochowaEkstraklasa
Jul 29, 2024Raków Częstochowa 0-1 Cracovia KrakowEkstraklasa

Last archived meeting: Cracovia Krakow vs Raków Częstochowa on Aug 16, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Raków Częstochowa score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Cracovia Krakow score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Raków Częstochowa1.71.359/1510/15
Cracovia Krakow1.31.168/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Raków Częstochowa sit 18th in Ekstraklasa (0 points from 3 matches) and Cracovia Krakow sit 3rd (8 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Cracovia Krakow5221558
18Raków Częstochowa3003360

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Raków Częstochowa vs Cracovia Krakow?
The Footlab model makes Raków Częstochowa the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for Cracovia Krakow.
Where and when is Raków Częstochowa vs Cracovia Krakow played?
Raków Częstochowa vs Cracovia Krakow is played on February 13, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Miejski Stadion Piłkarski Raków, in the Ekstraklasa.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Raków Częstochowa and Cracovia Krakow

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