Zaglebie Lubin vs Widzew Łódź: prediction and stats
EkstraklasaRegular Season - 33Kick-off on May 15, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)KGHM Zagłębie Arena, Lubin
The Footlab model makes Zaglebie Lubin the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Widzew Łódź. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Zaglebie Lubin vs Widzew Łódź?
A very open match: only 18 Elo points separate Zaglebie Lubin (1,951) and Widzew Łódź (1,969).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Zaglebie Lubin have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Widzew Łódź have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Radomiak Radom(away) | 0-0 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Slask Wroclaw(home) | 2-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Legia Warszawa(away) | 1-3 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Piast Gliwice(home) | 2-0 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Chrobry Głogów(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Slask Wroclaw(away) | 3-3 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Korona Kielce(home) | 1-2 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Jagiellonia(away) | 2-0 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Wisla Plock(away) | 0-0 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Motor Lublin(home) | 2-2 | Ekstraklasa |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Zaglebie Lubin win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Widzew Łódź win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2026 | Widzew Łódź 1-1 Zaglebie Lubin | Friendlies Clubs |
| Dec 6, 2025 | Zaglebie Lubin 2-1 Widzew Łódź | Ekstraklasa |
| Oct 29, 2025 | Widzew Łódź 1-0 Zaglebie Lubin | Cup |
| Jul 19, 2025 | Widzew Łódź 1-0 Zaglebie Lubin | Ekstraklasa |
| May 10, 2025 | Zaglebie Lubin 2-1 Widzew Łódź | Ekstraklasa |
| Jan 17, 2025 | Widzew Łódź 4-7 Zaglebie Lubin | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Widzew Łódź vs Zaglebie Lubin on Jan 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Zaglebie Lubin score 1.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Widzew Łódź score 1.5 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zaglebie Lubin | 1.3 | 0.9 | 7 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
| Widzew Łódź | 1.5 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Zaglebie Lubin sit 6th in Ekstraklasa (7 points from 4 matches) and Widzew Łódź sit 9th (6 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Zaglebie Lubin | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 7 |
| 9 | Widzew Łódź | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Zaglebie Lubin vs Widzew Łódź?
- The Footlab model makes Zaglebie Lubin the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Widzew Łódź.
- Where and when is Zaglebie Lubin vs Widzew Łódź played?
- Zaglebie Lubin vs Widzew Łódź is played on May 15, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at KGHM Zagłębie Arena, in the Ekstraklasa.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- May 15, 2027Wisla PlockvsGornik Zabrze
- May 15, 2027Pogon SzczecinvsLech Poznan
- May 15, 2027Piast GliwicevsRaków Częstochowa
- May 15, 2027Cracovia KrakowvsKorona Kielce
- May 15, 2027GKS KatowicevsSlask Wroclaw
- May 15, 2027Radomiak RadomvsJagiellonia
- May 15, 2027Motor LublinvsWisla Krakow
- May 15, 2027Wieczysta KrakówvsLegia Warszawa