Match

Zaglebie Lubin vs Widzew Łódź: prediction and stats

EkstraklasaRegular Season - 33Kick-off on May 15, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)KGHM Zagłębie Arena, Lubin

Zaglebie LubinWidzew Łódź

The Footlab model makes Zaglebie Lubin the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Widzew Łódź. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Zaglebie Lubin vs Widzew Łódź?

A very open match: only 18 Elo points separate Zaglebie Lubin (1,951) and Widzew Łódź (1,969).

Zaglebie Lubin win42 %
Draw28 %
Widzew Łódź win30 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Zaglebie Lubin have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Widzew Łódź have 7, 4 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Zaglebie Lubin
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Radomiak Radom(away)0-0Ekstraklasa
Aug 15, 2026Slask Wroclaw(home)2-1Ekstraklasa
Aug 2, 2026Legia Warszawa(away)1-3Ekstraklasa
Jul 27, 2026Piast Gliwice(home)2-0Ekstraklasa
Jul 18, 2026Chrobry Głogów(home)3-0Friendlies Clubs
Widzew Łódź
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Slask Wroclaw(away)3-3Ekstraklasa
Aug 15, 2026Korona Kielce(home)1-2Ekstraklasa
Aug 9, 2026Jagiellonia(away)2-0Ekstraklasa
Jul 31, 2026Wisla Plock(away)0-0Ekstraklasa
Jul 26, 2026Motor Lublin(home)2-2Ekstraklasa

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Zaglebie Lubin win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Widzew Łódź win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 22, 2026Widzew Łódź 1-1 Zaglebie LubinFriendlies Clubs
Dec 6, 2025Zaglebie Lubin 2-1 Widzew ŁódźEkstraklasa
Oct 29, 2025Widzew Łódź 1-0 Zaglebie LubinCup
Jul 19, 2025Widzew Łódź 1-0 Zaglebie LubinEkstraklasa
May 10, 2025Zaglebie Lubin 2-1 Widzew ŁódźEkstraklasa
Jan 17, 2025Widzew Łódź 4-7 Zaglebie LubinFriendlies Clubs

Last archived meeting: Widzew Łódź vs Zaglebie Lubin on Jan 22, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Zaglebie Lubin score 1.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Widzew Łódź score 1.5 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Zaglebie Lubin1.30.974/156/15
Widzew Łódź1.50.976/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Zaglebie Lubin sit 6th in Ekstraklasa (7 points from 4 matches) and Widzew Łódź sit 9th (6 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Zaglebie Lubin4211547
9Widzew Łódź5131876

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Zaglebie Lubin vs Widzew Łódź?
The Footlab model makes Zaglebie Lubin the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Widzew Łódź.
Where and when is Zaglebie Lubin vs Widzew Łódź played?
Zaglebie Lubin vs Widzew Łódź is played on May 15, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at KGHM Zagłębie Arena, in the Ekstraklasa.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Zaglebie Lubin and Widzew Łódź

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