Where and when is Radomiak Radom vs Jagiellonia played?

Radomiak Radom vs Jagiellonia is played on May 15, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Radomiaka, in the Ekstraklasa.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Radomiak Radom vs Jagiellonia: prediction and stats

EkstraklasaRegular Season - 33Kick-off on May 15, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Radomiaka, Radom

Radomiak Radom

Jagiellonia

The Footlab model makes Radomiak Radom the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Jagiellonia. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Radomiak Radom vs Jagiellonia?

Jagiellonia starts as the favourite with a 161-point Elo edge (2,059 vs 1,899).

Radomiak Radom win40 %

Draw26 %

Jagiellonia win34 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Radomiak Radom have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Jagiellonia have 11, 3 and 1.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Radomiak Radom
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Zaglebie Lubin(home)	0-0	Ekstraklasa
Aug 14, 2026	Legia Warszawa(away)	0-5	Ekstraklasa
Aug 9, 2026	AEL(home)	1-1	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026	Gornik Zabrze(home)	1-3	Ekstraklasa
Aug 2, 2026	GKS Katowice(away)	1-3	Ekstraklasa

Jagiellonia
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 20, 2026	Saburtalo(home)	4-0	UEFA Europa League
Aug 13, 2026	Rangers(away)	1-1	UEFA Europa League
Aug 9, 2026	Widzew Łódź(home)	0-2	Ekstraklasa
Aug 6, 2026	Rangers(home)	2-1	UEFA Europa League
Jul 31, 2026	Motor Lublin(away)	2-1	Ekstraklasa

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Radomiak Radom win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 Jagiellonia win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Feb 22, 2026	Jagiellonia 1-1 Radomiak Radom	Ekstraklasa
Aug 17, 2025	Radomiak Radom 1-2 Jagiellonia	Ekstraklasa
Feb 2, 2025	Jagiellonia 5-0 Radomiak Radom	Ekstraklasa
Jul 27, 2024	Radomiak Radom 2-3 Jagiellonia	Ekstraklasa
Mar 16, 2024	Radomiak Radom 0-2 Jagiellonia	Ekstraklasa
Sep 17, 2023	Jagiellonia 3-2 Radomiak Radom	Ekstraklasa

Last archived meeting: Jagiellonia vs Radomiak Radom on Feb 22, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Radomiak Radom score 1.2 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Jagiellonia score 1.7 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Radomiak Radom	1.2	2.0	3	11/15	11/15
Jagiellonia	1.7	0.7	7	7/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Radomiak Radom sit 16th in Ekstraklasa (4 points from 5 matches) and Jagiellonia sit 10th (6 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
10	Jagiellonia	3	2	0	1	3	3	6
16	Radomiak Radom	5	1	1	3	4	12	4

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Radomiak Radom vs Jagiellonia?: The Footlab model makes Radomiak Radom the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Jagiellonia.
Where and when is Radomiak Radom vs Jagiellonia played?: Radomiak Radom vs Jagiellonia is played on May 15, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Radomiaka, in the Ekstraklasa.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.