Cracovia Krakow vs Korona Kielce: prediction and stats
EkstraklasaRegular Season - 33Kick-off on May 15, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Cracovii im. Józefa Piłsudskiego, Kraków
The Footlab model makes Cracovia Krakow the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Korona Kielce. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cracovia Krakow vs Korona Kielce?
A very open match: only 2 Elo points separate Cracovia Krakow (1,948) and Korona Kielce (1,946).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cracovia Krakow have 5 wins, 8 draws and 2 defeats; Korona Kielce have 3, 8 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Wieczysta Kraków(home) | 3-2 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Raków Częstochowa(home) | 2-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Slask Wroclaw(away) | 0-0 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Pogon Szczecin(home) | 0-2 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Lech Poznan(away) | 0-0 | Ekstraklasa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Motor Lublin(home) | 1-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Widzew Łódź(away) | 2-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Legia Warszawa(home) | 1-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Jagiellonia(away) | 0-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 17, 2026 | Nieciecza(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Cracovia Krakow win(s), 4 draw(s), 0 Korona Kielce win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Cracovia Krakow 1-1 Korona Kielce | Ekstraklasa |
| Nov 29, 2025 | Korona Kielce 0-1 Cracovia Krakow | Ekstraklasa |
| Feb 14, 2025 | Cracovia Krakow 1-1 Korona Kielce | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 10, 2024 | Korona Kielce 0-2 Cracovia Krakow | Ekstraklasa |
| Mar 9, 2024 | Korona Kielce 1-1 Cracovia Krakow | Ekstraklasa |
| Sep 2, 2023 | Cracovia Krakow 0-0 Korona Kielce | Ekstraklasa |
Last archived meeting: Cracovia Krakow vs Korona Kielce on May 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Cracovia Krakow score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Korona Kielce score 0.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cracovia Krakow | 1.3 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Korona Kielce | 0.9 | 0.9 | 4 | 7/15 | 2/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cracovia Krakow sit 3rd in Ekstraklasa (8 points from 5 matches) and Korona Kielce sit 11th (5 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Cracovia Krakow | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 8 |
| 11 | Korona Kielce | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cracovia Krakow vs Korona Kielce?
- The Footlab model makes Cracovia Krakow the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Korona Kielce.
- Where and when is Cracovia Krakow vs Korona Kielce played?
- Cracovia Krakow vs Korona Kielce is played on May 15, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Cracovii im. Józefa Piłsudskiego, in the Ekstraklasa.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- May 15, 2027Wisla PlockvsGornik Zabrze
- May 15, 2027Zaglebie LubinvsWidzew Łódź
- May 15, 2027Pogon SzczecinvsLech Poznan
- May 15, 2027Piast GliwicevsRaków Częstochowa
- May 15, 2027GKS KatowicevsSlask Wroclaw
- May 15, 2027Radomiak RadomvsJagiellonia
- May 15, 2027Motor LublinvsWisla Krakow
- May 15, 2027Wieczysta KrakówvsLegia Warszawa