Where and when is Wieczysta Kraków vs Legia Warszawa played?

Wieczysta Kraków vs Legia Warszawa is played on May 15, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at ArcelorMittal Park, in the Ekstraklasa.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Wieczysta Kraków vs Legia Warszawa: prediction and stats

EkstraklasaRegular Season - 33Kick-off on May 15, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)ArcelorMittal Park, Sosnowiec

Wieczysta Kraków

Legia Warszawa

The Footlab model makes Legia Warszawa the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Wieczysta Kraków. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Wieczysta Kraków vs Legia Warszawa?

Legia Warszawa starts as the favourite with a 129-point Elo edge (2,059 vs 1,930).

Wieczysta Kraków win35 %

Draw27 %

Legia Warszawa win38 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Wieczysta Kraków have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Legia Warszawa have 11, 3 and 1.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Wieczysta Kraków
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	Cracovia Krakow(away)	2-3	Ekstraklasa
Aug 15, 2026	Piast Gliwice(away)	4-3	Ekstraklasa
Aug 1, 2026	Lech Poznan(home)	1-2	Ekstraklasa
Jul 24, 2026	Radomiak Radom(away)	1-2	Ekstraklasa
Jul 18, 2026	Maccabi Netanya(home)	0-1	Friendlies Clubs

Legia Warszawa
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Piast Gliwice(away)	1-1	Ekstraklasa
Aug 14, 2026	Radomiak Radom(home)	5-0	Ekstraklasa
Aug 8, 2026	Korona Kielce(away)	1-1	Ekstraklasa
Aug 2, 2026	Zaglebie Lubin(home)	3-1	Ekstraklasa
Jul 24, 2026	Pogon Szczecin(away)	1-0	Ekstraklasa

How many goals should we expect?

Wieczysta Kraków score 2.0 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Legia Warszawa score 1.9 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Wieczysta Kraków	2.0	1.7	1	12/15	11/15
Legia Warszawa	1.9	0.7	7	7/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Wieczysta Kraków sit 17th in Ekstraklasa (3 points from 4 matches) and Legia Warszawa sit 1st (11 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Legia Warszawa	5	3	2	0	11	3	11
17	Wieczysta Kraków	4	1	0	3	8	10	3

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Wieczysta Kraków vs Legia Warszawa?: The Footlab model makes Legia Warszawa the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Wieczysta Kraków.
Where and when is Wieczysta Kraków vs Legia Warszawa played?: Wieczysta Kraków vs Legia Warszawa is played on May 15, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at ArcelorMittal Park, in the Ekstraklasa.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.