Where and when is Wisla Plock vs Gornik Zabrze played?

Wisla Plock vs Gornik Zabrze is played on May 15, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Orlen Stadion, in the Ekstraklasa.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Wisla Plock vs Gornik Zabrze: prediction and stats

EkstraklasaRegular Season - 33Kick-off on May 15, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Orlen Stadion, Płock

Wisla Plock

Gornik Zabrze

The Footlab model makes Wisla Plock the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Gornik Zabrze. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Wisla Plock vs Gornik Zabrze?

Gornik Zabrze starts as the favourite with a 124-point Elo edge (2,041 vs 1,918).

Wisla Plock win41 %

Draw27 %

Gornik Zabrze win32 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Wisla Plock have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Gornik Zabrze have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Wisla Plock
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	GKS Katowice(away)	0-5	Ekstraklasa
Aug 7, 2026	Wisla Krakow(away)	1-2	Ekstraklasa
Jul 31, 2026	Widzew Łódź(home)	0-0	Ekstraklasa
Jul 26, 2026	Raków Częstochowa(away)	2-1	Ekstraklasa
Jul 22, 2026	Pelikan Łowicz(home)	3-2	Friendlies Clubs

Gornik Zabrze
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 20, 2026	Monaco(home)	2-3	UEFA Europa Conference League
Aug 16, 2026	Wisla Krakow(home)	2-1	Ekstraklasa
Aug 13, 2026	Ferencvarosi TC(home)	1-1	UEFA Europa League
Aug 8, 2026	Radomiak Radom(away)	3-1	Ekstraklasa
Aug 5, 2026	Ferencvarosi TC(away)	0-1	UEFA Europa League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Wisla Plock win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Gornik Zabrze win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 16, 2026	Wisla Plock 0-1 Gornik Zabrze	Ekstraklasa
Nov 21, 2025	Gornik Zabrze 1-1 Wisla Plock	Ekstraklasa
Mar 17, 2023	Gornik Zabrze 3-2 Wisla Plock	Ekstraklasa
Sep 5, 2022	Wisla Plock 1-1 Gornik Zabrze	Ekstraklasa
Apr 4, 2022	Wisla Plock 3-2 Gornik Zabrze	Ekstraklasa
Oct 2, 2021	Gornik Zabrze 4-2 Wisla Plock	Ekstraklasa

Last archived meeting: Wisla Plock vs Gornik Zabrze on May 16, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Wisla Plock score 1.3 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Gornik Zabrze score 1.6 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Wisla Plock	1.3	1.6	4	6/15	11/15
Gornik Zabrze	1.6	1.3	2	10/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Wisla Plock sit 15th in Ekstraklasa (4 points from 4 matches) and Gornik Zabrze sit 2nd (9 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
2	Gornik Zabrze	3	3	0	0	7	3	9
15	Wisla Plock	4	1	1	2	3	8	4

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Wisla Plock vs Gornik Zabrze?: The Footlab model makes Wisla Plock the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Gornik Zabrze.
Where and when is Wisla Plock vs Gornik Zabrze played?: Wisla Plock vs Gornik Zabrze is played on May 15, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Orlen Stadion, in the Ekstraklasa.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.