Where and when is Pogon Szczecin vs Lech Poznan played?

Pogon Szczecin vs Lech Poznan is played on May 15, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera, in the Ekstraklasa.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Pogon Szczecin vs Lech Poznan: prediction and stats

EkstraklasaRegular Season - 33Kick-off on May 15, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera, Szczecin

Pogon Szczecin

Lech Poznan

The Footlab model makes Lech Poznan the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Pogon Szczecin. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Pogon Szczecin vs Lech Poznan?

Lech Poznan starts as the favourite with a 148-point Elo edge (2,141 vs 1,993).

Pogon Szczecin win28 %

Draw25 %

Lech Poznan win47 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pogon Szczecin have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Lech Poznan have 11, 3 and 1.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Pogon Szczecin
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Wisla Krakow(home)	2-2	Ekstraklasa
Aug 8, 2026	Motor Lublin(home)	3-1	Ekstraklasa
Aug 3, 2026	Cracovia Krakow(away)	2-0	Ekstraklasa
Jul 24, 2026	Legia Warszawa(home)	0-1	Ekstraklasa
Jul 15, 2026	Sturm Graz(away)	0-1	Friendlies Clubs

Lech Poznan
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 20, 2026	FC Thun(home)	7-0	UEFA Europa League
Aug 14, 2026	KI Klaksvik(away)	5-0	UEFA Europa League
Aug 9, 2026	Piast Gliwice(home)	3-0	Ekstraklasa
Aug 6, 2026	KI Klaksvik(home)	1-0	UEFA Europa League
Aug 1, 2026	Wieczysta Kraków(away)	2-1	Ekstraklasa

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Pogon Szczecin win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Lech Poznan win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 18, 2026	Pogon Szczecin 1-2 Lech Poznan	Ekstraklasa
Oct 19, 2025	Lech Poznan 2-2 Pogon Szczecin	Ekstraklasa
Mar 1, 2025	Pogon Szczecin 0-3 Lech Poznan	Ekstraklasa
Aug 25, 2024	Lech Poznan 2-0 Pogon Szczecin	Ekstraklasa
Apr 7, 2024	Lech Poznan 1-0 Pogon Szczecin	Ekstraklasa
Feb 27, 2024	Lech Poznan 0-1 Pogon Szczecin	Cup

Last archived meeting: Pogon Szczecin vs Lech Poznan on Apr 18, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Pogon Szczecin score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Lech Poznan score 2.6 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Pogon Szczecin	1.4	1.3	4	7/15	8/15
Lech Poznan	2.6	0.7	7	7/15	11/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Pogon Szczecin sit 5th in Ekstraklasa (7 points from 4 matches) and Lech Poznan sit 4th (7 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
4	Lech Poznan	3	2	1	0	5	1	7
5	Pogon Szczecin	4	2	1	1	7	4	7

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Pogon Szczecin vs Lech Poznan?: The Footlab model makes Lech Poznan the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Pogon Szczecin.
Where and when is Pogon Szczecin vs Lech Poznan played?: Pogon Szczecin vs Lech Poznan is played on May 15, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera, in the Ekstraklasa.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.