Zamora vs Real Unión: prediction and stats
Primera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 18Kick-off on January 3, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Ruta de la Plata, Zamora
The Footlab model makes Zamora the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Real Unión. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Zamora vs Real Unión?
A very open match: only 0 Elo points separate Zamora (1,974) and Real Unión (1,975).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Zamora have 9 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; Real Unión have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Real Madrid II(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 19, 2026 | Sabadell(away) | 0-4 | Primera División RFEF - Play Offs |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Sabadell(home) | 1-0 | Primera División RFEF - Play Offs |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Villarreal II(home) | 2-0 | Primera División RFEF - Play Offs |
| May 31, 2026 | Villarreal II(away) | 0-2 | Primera División RFEF - Play Offs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Eibar(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | PAU(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 1, 2026 | Alfaro(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Real Zaragoza II(away) | 1-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Amorebieta(home) | 3-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Zamora win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Real Unión win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 11, 2025 | Zamora 1-0 Real Unión | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Jan 12, 2025 | Real Unión 1-2 Zamora | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 10, 2022 | Zamora 0-1 Real Unión | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Nov 27, 2021 | Real Unión 2-0 Zamora | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Zamora score 1.4 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Real Unión score 2.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zamora | 1.4 | 1.1 | 6 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Real Unión | 2.3 | 1.5 | 4 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Zamora | 38 | 17 | 10 | 11 | 53 | 42 | 61 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Zamora vs Real Unión?
- The Footlab model makes Zamora the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Real Unión.
- Where and when is Zamora vs Real Unión played?
- Zamora vs Real Unión is played on January 3, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Ruta de la Plata, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.