Zamora vs Real Unión: prediction and stats
Primera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 18Kick-off on January 3, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Ruta de la Plata, Zamora
The Footlab AI model makes Zamora the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Real Unión. The most likely score is 1-1. If Zamora wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,404 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Zamora vs Real Unión?
A very open match: only 8 Elo points separate Zamora (1,984) and Real Unión (1,976).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Zamora vs Real Unión
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Zamora
4-3-3- 7Javier Carbonell
- 20I. Incera
- 19Pau Mascaró
- 10Carlos Ramos
- 21A. Hidalgo
- 11J. Sancho
- 5Aleix Gorjón
- 18Iago Indias
- 3Luismi Luengo
- 23Eudald Vergés
- 1Iker Piedra
Real Unión
4-3-3- 20Ander Martín
- 7Unai García
- 11Aitor Galarza Altuna
- 23Sangalli
- 6B. Gaubeka
- 22Juan de la Mata
- 2Javi Fontán
- 4Jordi Pola
- 8P. Alvarez
- 3Álvaro Mateo
- 1Jon Tena
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 02:53 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Zamora have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Real Unión have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Mirandes(away) | 1-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | CD Coria(home) | 2-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Extremadura 1924(away) | 1-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Lugo(home) | 1-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Arenas Getxo(away) | 2-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Athletic Club II(away) | 0-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | UD Ourense(home) | 1-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Deportivo La Coruña II(away) | 0-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Mirandes(home) | 2-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Racing Ferrol(away) | 2-3 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Zamora wins, 0 draws, 2 Real Unión wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 11, 2025 | Zamora 1-0 Real Unión | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Jan 12, 2025 | Real Unión 1-2 Zamora | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 10, 2022 | Zamora 0-1 Real Unión | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Nov 27, 2021 | Real Unión 2-0 Zamora | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Zamora score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Real Unión score 2.0 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zamora | 1.1 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Real Unión | 2.0 | 1.6 | 3 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Zamora sit 7th in Primera División RFEF - Group 1 (11 points from 7 matches) and Real Unión sit 10th (9 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Zamora | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 11 |
| 10 | Real Unión | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 9 |
A question about Zamora vs Real Unión?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Zamora vs Real Unión?
- The Footlab AI model makes Zamora the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Real Unión.
- Where and when is Zamora vs Real Unión played?
- Zamora vs Real Unión is played on January 3, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Ruta de la Plata, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.