Real Avilés vs Cacereño: prediction and stats
Primera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 18Kick-off on January 3, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Román Suárez Puerta, Avilés
The Footlab AI model makes Real Avilés the favourite at 42%, against 29% for a draw and 29% for Cacereño. The most likely score is 1-1. If Real Avilés wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,446 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Real Avilés vs Cacereño?
A very open match: only 40 Elo points separate Real Avilés (1,892) and Cacereño (1,932).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Real Avilés vs Cacereño
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Real Avilés
4-3-3- 8B. Abelenda
- 14Berto Cayarga
- 19N. Poquet
- 7Cris Montes
- 9Álvaro Santamaría
- 5Samuel
- 20O. Carracedo
- 4Markel Artetxe
- 21Jon Sillero
- 15Eric Pérez
- 1Álvaro Ratón
Cacereño
4-3-3- 18Juan Artola
- 16Sergio Navarro
- 9O. Chit
- 6N. Conesa
- 8Álvaro Gete
- 5Toño Calvo
- 22Adrián Expósito
- 17Sergio López
- 2I. Martinez
- 3Manolo Molina
- 1Diego Nieves
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 03:39 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Avilés have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Cacereño have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Ponferradina(away) | 2-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Lugo(home) | 1-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Barakaldo(away) | 3-3 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | CD Coria(away) | 1-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Unionistas de Salamanca(home) | 3-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Unionistas de Salamanca(home) | 1-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Mérida AD(away) | 0-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | UD Ourense(away) | 0-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Arenas Getxo(home) | 3-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Recreativo Huelva(away) | 1-2 | Copa Federacion |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Real Avilés win, 1 draw, 0 Cacereño wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | Real Avilés 1-1 Cacereño | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Nov 9, 2025 | Cacereño 0-4 Real Avilés | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Real Avilés vs Cacereño on Mar 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Real Avilés score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Cacereño score 1.4 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Avilés | 1.5 | 1.3 | 2 | 11/15 | 7/15 |
| Cacereño | 1.4 | 0.8 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Real Avilés sit 13th in Primera División RFEF - Group 1 (8 points from 7 matches) and Cacereño sit 5th (12 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Cacereño | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 12 |
| 13 | Real Avilés | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 8 |
A question about Real Avilés vs Cacereño?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Real Avilés vs Cacereño?
- The Footlab AI model makes Real Avilés the favourite at 42%, against 29% for a draw and 29% for Cacereño.
- Where and when is Real Avilés vs Cacereño played?
- Real Avilés vs Cacereño is played on January 3, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Román Suárez Puerta, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.