Mirandes vs Cultural Leonesa: prediction and stats
Primera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 18Kick-off on January 3, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de Anduva, Miranda de Ebro
The Footlab model makes Mirandes the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Cultural Leonesa. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mirandes vs Cultural Leonesa?
A very open match: only 41 Elo points separate Mirandes (1,877) and Cultural Leonesa (1,836).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mirandes have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Cultural Leonesa have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | UD Logroñés(away) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 19, 2026 | La Calzada(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Real Madrid II(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Atlético Madrid II(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Osasuna II(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Atlético Astorga(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Salamanca UDS(home) | 5-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Burgos(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Real Avilés(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Athletic Club II(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Mirandes win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Cultural Leonesa win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Mirandes 2-1 Cultural Leonesa | Segunda División |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Cultural Leonesa 3-2 Mirandes | Segunda División |
Last archived meeting: Mirandes vs Cultural Leonesa on Apr 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Mirandes score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Cultural Leonesa score 1.1 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mirandes | 1.3 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Cultural Leonesa | 1.1 | 1.2 | 3 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mirandes vs Cultural Leonesa?
- The Footlab model makes Mirandes the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Cultural Leonesa.
- Where and when is Mirandes vs Cultural Leonesa played?
- Mirandes vs Cultural Leonesa is played on January 3, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Anduva, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.