CD Coria vs Racing Ferrol: prediction and stats
Primera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 18Kick-off on January 3, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio La Isla, Coria
The Footlab model makes CD Coria the favourite at 54%, against 26% for a draw and 19% for Racing Ferrol. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win CD Coria vs Racing Ferrol?
CD Coria starts as the favourite with a 125-point Elo edge (1,956 vs 1,831).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, CD Coria have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Racing Ferrol have 2, 8 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Extremadura 1924(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Unionistas de Salamanca(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Valladolid(away) | 1-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 31, 2026 | Real Oviedo II(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| May 24, 2026 | Real Oviedo II(home) | 3-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 13, 2026 | Real Avilés(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Real Madrid II(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 23, 2026 | Unionistas de Salamanca(away) | 2-3 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| May 17, 2026 | Osasuna II(home) | 0-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| May 8, 2026 | Arenas Getxo(away) | 1-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
CD Coria score 1.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Racing Ferrol score 1.0 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CD Coria | 1.9 | 1.1 | 8 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
| Racing Ferrol | 1.0 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Racing Ferrol | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 41 | 47 | 49 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for CD Coria vs Racing Ferrol?
- The Footlab model makes CD Coria the favourite at 54%, against 26% for a draw and 19% for Racing Ferrol.
- Where and when is CD Coria vs Racing Ferrol played?
- CD Coria vs Racing Ferrol is played on January 3, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio La Isla, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.