Zenit Penza vs Saturn Ramenskoye: prediction and stats
Second League - Group 3Group 3 - 25Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Pervomayskiy, Penza
The Footlab model makes Saturn Ramenskoye the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Zenit Penza. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Zenit Penza vs Saturn Ramenskoye?
Saturn Ramenskoye starts as the favourite with a 140-point Elo edge (1,655 vs 1,515).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Zenit Penza have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Saturn Ramenskoye have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | FK Spartak Tambov(home) | 1-0 | Second League - Group 3 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Avangard Kursk(away) | 0-1 | Second League - Group 3 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Volna Nizhegorodskaya(home) | 0-2 | Second League - Group 3 |
| Jul 29, 2026 | SKA Rostov(away) | 2-2 | Cup |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Rotor-2(away) | 1-0 | Second League - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kvant(away) | 6-2 | Second League - Group 3 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | SKA Khabarovsk II(home) | 1-0 | Second League - Group 3 |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Irtysh Omsk(away) | 1-1 | Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Salyut-Belgorod(away) | 1-3 | Second League - Group 3 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Shumbrat(home) | 4-2 | Second League - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Zenit Penza win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Saturn Ramenskoye win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 6, 2026 | Saturn Ramenskoye 1-0 Zenit Penza | Second League - Group 3 |
| Jul 29, 2023 | Zenit Penza 1-4 Saturn Ramenskoye | Second League - Group 3 |
| Oct 19, 2022 | Saturn Ramenskoye 3-0 Zenit Penza | Second League - Group 3 |
| Aug 14, 2022 | Zenit Penza 2-2 Saturn Ramenskoye | Second League - Group 3 |
| May 7, 2022 | Saturn Ramenskoye 0-5 Zenit Penza | Second League - Group 3 |
| Apr 3, 2022 | Zenit Penza 3-1 Saturn Ramenskoye | Second League - Group 3 |
Last archived meeting: Saturn Ramenskoye vs Zenit Penza on Jun 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Zenit Penza score 1.0 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Saturn Ramenskoye score 1.8 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zenit Penza | 1.0 | 2.1 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Saturn Ramenskoye | 1.8 | 1.5 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Zenit Penza sit 13th in Second League - Group 3 (17 points from 19 matches) and Saturn Ramenskoye sit 6th (34 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Saturn Ramenskoye | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 36 | 30 | 34 |
| 13 | Zenit Penza | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 19 | 38 | 17 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Zenit Penza vs Saturn Ramenskoye?
- The Footlab model makes Saturn Ramenskoye the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Zenit Penza.
- Where and when is Zenit Penza vs Saturn Ramenskoye played?
- Zenit Penza vs Saturn Ramenskoye is played on September 26, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Pervomayskiy, in the Second League - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.