Shumbrat vs Salyut-Belgorod: prediction and stats
Second League - Group 3Group 3 - 25Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Salyut-Belgorod the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Shumbrat. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Shumbrat vs Salyut-Belgorod?
A very open match: only 34 Elo points separate Shumbrat (1,683) and Salyut-Belgorod (1,717).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Shumbrat have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Salyut-Belgorod have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Arsenal Tula II(away) | 1-1 | Second League - Group 3 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Strogino(home) | 1-1 | Second League - Group 3 |
| Aug 12, 2026 | 2Drots(home) | 1-1 | Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | SKA Khabarovsk II(away) | 2-0 | Second League - Group 3 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Saturn Ramenskoye(away) | 2-4 | Second League - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Rotor-2(home) | 1-0 | Second League - Group 3 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kvant(away) | 3-1 | Second League - Group 3 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Saturn Ramenskoye(home) | 3-1 | Second League - Group 3 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Orel(home) | 3-0 | Second League - Group 3 |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Kristall MEZ(away) | 0-3 | Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Shumbrat win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Salyut-Belgorod win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 6, 2026 | Salyut-Belgorod 0-2 Shumbrat | Second League - Group 3 |
Last archived meeting: Salyut-Belgorod vs Shumbrat on Jun 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Shumbrat score 1.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Salyut-Belgorod score 1.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shumbrat | 1.9 | 1.2 | 7 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Salyut-Belgorod | 1.5 | 1.1 | 5 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Shumbrat sit 5th in Second League - Group 3 (37 points from 20 matches) and Salyut-Belgorod sit 3rd (39 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Salyut-Belgorod | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 37 | 18 | 39 |
| 5 | Shumbrat | 20 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 38 | 26 | 37 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Shumbrat vs Salyut-Belgorod?
- The Footlab model makes Salyut-Belgorod the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Shumbrat.
- Where and when is Shumbrat vs Salyut-Belgorod played?
- Shumbrat vs Salyut-Belgorod is played on September 26, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the Second League - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.