Volna Nizhegorodskaya vs Ryazan: prediction and stats
Second League - Group 3Group 3 - 25Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Khimik, Dzerzhinsk
The Footlab model makes Volna Nizhegorodskaya the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Ryazan. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Volna Nizhegorodskaya vs Ryazan?
A very open match: only 49 Elo points separate Volna Nizhegorodskaya (1,753) and Ryazan (1,704).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Volna Nizhegorodskaya have 12 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats; Ryazan have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Rodina Moskva III(away) | 1-1 | Second League - Group 3 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Metallurg Lipetsk(home) | 3-2 | Second League - Group 3 |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Tyumen(home) | 2-1 | Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Zenit Penza(away) | 2-0 | Second League - Group 3 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Arsenal Tula II(home) | 2-0 | Second League - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | FK Spartak Tambov(home) | 1-1 | Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Orel(away) | 2-0 | Second League - Group 3 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Rodina Moskva III(home) | 3-0 | Second League - Group 3 |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Kvant(away) | 2-0 | Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Metallurg Lipetsk(away) | 0-0 | Second League - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Volna Nizhegorodskaya win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Ryazan win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 6, 2026 | Ryazan 0-1 Volna Nizhegorodskaya | Second League - Group 3 |
Last archived meeting: Ryazan vs Volna Nizhegorodskaya on Jun 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Volna Nizhegorodskaya score 2.1 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Ryazan score 1.5 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volna Nizhegorodskaya | 2.1 | 0.7 | 9 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Ryazan | 1.5 | 0.5 | 10 | 3/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Volna Nizhegorodskaya sit 1st in Second League - Group 3 (50 points from 20 matches) and Ryazan sit 7th (34 points from 19 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Volna Nizhegorodskaya | 20 | 16 | 2 | 2 | 44 | 13 | 50 |
| 7 | Ryazan | 19 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 31 | 12 | 34 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Volna Nizhegorodskaya vs Ryazan?
- The Footlab model makes Volna Nizhegorodskaya the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Ryazan.
- Where and when is Volna Nizhegorodskaya vs Ryazan played?
- Volna Nizhegorodskaya vs Ryazan is played on September 26, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Khimik, in the Second League - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.