Zira vs Sumqayıt: prediction and stats
Premyer LiqaRegular Season - 9Kick-off on October 23, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Zirə qəsəbə stadionu, Zirya
The Footlab AI model makes Zira the favourite at 51%, against 27% for a draw and 22% for Sumqayıt. The most likely score is 1-1. If Zira wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,475 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Zira vs Sumqayıt?
Zira starts as the favourite with a 201-point Elo edge (1,891 vs 1,691).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Zira vs Sumqayıt
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Zira
4-3-3- 9D. Volkovi
- 27L. Bayéré
- 7E. Aydın
- 21Guima
- 11A. Guseynov
- 8İ. İbrahimli
- 4Ruan
- 5A. Mutsinzi
- 2A. Seydiyev
- 32Q. Alıyev
- 72H. Quliyev
Sumqayıt
4-3-3- 10Ronaldo Junior Vásquez Herasme
- 9Jeam
- 11M. Bangré
- 42C. Badolo
- 55Lucas Black
- 29E. Mustafaev
- 4Easah Suliman
- 5Renan
- 80Keffel
- 21Tiago Almeida
- 16M. Johansson
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 04:19 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Zira have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Sumqayıt have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Şamaxı FK(home) | 1-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Turan(away) | 0-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Qarabag(home) | 1-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Sabah FA(away) | 0-5 | Premyer Liqa |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Neftchi Baku(home) | 1-0 | Premyer Liqa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Qabala(home) | 4-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Kapaz(away) | 1-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Şamaxı FK(home) | 1-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Turan(away) | 1-2 | Premyer Liqa |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Qarabag(home) | 0-1 | Premyer Liqa |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Zira wins, 1 draw, 0 Sumqayıt wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Zira 2-1 Sumqayıt | Premyer Liqa |
| Mar 3, 2026 | Zira 2-0 Sumqayıt | Cup |
| Feb 8, 2026 | Sumqayıt 2-3 Zira | Premyer Liqa |
| Feb 4, 2026 | Sumqayıt 0-0 Zira | Cup |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Zira 1-0 Sumqayıt | Premyer Liqa |
| Apr 20, 2025 | Zira 3-1 Sumqayıt | Premyer Liqa |
How many goals should we expect?
Zira score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Sumqayıt score 1.4 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zira | 1.3 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Sumqayıt | 1.4 | 1.7 | 2 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Zira sit 5th in Premyer Liqa (11 points from 7 matches) and Sumqayıt sit 8th (5 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Zira | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 11 |
| 8 | Sumqayıt | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 5 |
A question about Zira vs Sumqayıt?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Zira vs Sumqayıt?
- The Footlab AI model makes Zira the favourite at 51%, against 27% for a draw and 22% for Sumqayıt.
- Where and when is Zira vs Sumqayıt played?
- Zira vs Sumqayıt is played on October 23, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Zirə qəsəbə stadionu, in the Premyer Liqa.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.