Blauw Geel vs Groene Ster: prediction and stats
Derde DivisieRegular Season - 14Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Prins Willem Alexander Sportpark, Veghel
The Footlab AI model makes Blauw Geel the favourite at 62%, against 20% for a draw and 18% for Groene Ster. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,496 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Blauw Geel vs Groene Ster?
Blauw Geel starts as the favourite with a 120-point Elo edge (1,741 vs 1,621).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Blauw Geel vs Groene Ster
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Blauw Geel
4-2-3-1- 9L. Loermans
- 11Koen van der Zanden
- 7B. van den Nieuwenhof
- 6M. van Rosmalen
- 9D. de Meij
- 8H. van Dijk
- 3R. Voets
- 4D. Arts
- 5B. Eltink
- 4M. Zeller
- 1J. Zielschot
Groene Ster
4-3-3- 9Bjorn Stassen
- 21L. Golsteijn
- 11S. Ahidar
- 27M. Germonprez
- 18T. Hajjaji
- 8B. Simons
- 17D. Stassar
- 23D. Zwartjes
- 2J. de Kleijn
- 10C. Ghijsen
- 1M. Voss
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 12:36 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Blauw Geel have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Groene Ster have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | TOGB(away) | 1-3 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Poortugaal(home) | 1-3 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Vvsb(away) | 2-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 4, 2026 | UNA(home) | 1-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Excelsior Maassluis(away) | 0-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | UNA(home) | 1-3 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Dongen(away) | 0-3 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 11, 2026 | GOES(home) | 2-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Rijnvogels(away) | 1-5 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Gemert(home) | 1-2 | Derde Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Blauw Geel wins, 1 draw, 0 Groene Ster wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2026 | Blauw Geel 4-0 Groene Ster | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
| Aug 17, 2025 | Groene Ster 0-1 Blauw Geel | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
| May 12, 2024 | Groene Ster 0-3 Blauw Geel | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
| Dec 3, 2023 | Blauw Geel 1-0 Groene Ster | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
| Feb 12, 2023 | Blauw Geel 1-1 Groene Ster | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
| Oct 5, 2022 | Groene Ster 1-4 Blauw Geel | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
Last archived meeting: Blauw Geel vs Groene Ster on Apr 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Blauw Geel score 1.3 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Groene Ster score 1.5 and concede 2.7. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blauw Geel | 1.3 | 1.8 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Groene Ster | 1.5 | 2.7 | 1 | 13/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Blauw Geel sit 11th in Derde Divisie (12 points from 11 matches) and Groene Ster sit 15th (9 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Blauw Geel | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 17 | 12 |
| 15 | Groene Ster | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 27 | 9 |
A question about Blauw Geel vs Groene Ster?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Blauw Geel vs Groene Ster?
- The Footlab AI model makes Blauw Geel the favourite at 62%, against 20% for a draw and 18% for Groene Ster.
- Where and when is Blauw Geel vs Groene Ster played?
- Blauw Geel vs Groene Ster is played on November 22, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Prins Willem Alexander Sportpark, in the Derde Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.