Match

1. FC Heidenheim vs FC St. Pauli: prediction and stats

2. BundesligaRegular Season - 31Kick-off on April 24, 2027 at 11:30 AM (UTC)Voith-Arena, Heidenheim an der Brenz

1. FC HeidenheimFC St. Pauli

The Footlab model makes 1. FC Heidenheim the favourite at 53%, against 23% for a draw and 23% for FC St. Pauli. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win 1. FC Heidenheim vs FC St. Pauli?

A very open match: only 8 Elo points separate 1. FC Heidenheim (1,968) and FC St. Pauli (1,960).

1. FC Heidenheim win53 %
Draw23 %
FC St. Pauli win23 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, 1. FC Heidenheim have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; FC St. Pauli have 3, 5 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

1. FC Heidenheim
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026SSV Jeddeloh(away)2-5DFB Pokal
Aug 18, 2026Bayern München(home)2-4Friendlies Clubs
Aug 15, 2026Hertha BSC(away)1-42. Bundesliga
Aug 8, 2026VfL Osnabrück(home)4-32. Bundesliga
Aug 1, 2026FC Ingolstadt 04(home)4-1Friendlies Clubs
FC St. Pauli
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Rot-Weiß Essen(away)0-2DFB Pokal
Aug 14, 2026Holstein Kiel(away)2-22. Bundesliga
Aug 9, 2026SpVgg Greuther Fürth(home)1-12. Bundesliga
Aug 1, 2026Deportivo La Coruna(home)2-2Friendlies Clubs
Jul 24, 2026Bournemouth(away)1-4Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 1. FC Heidenheim win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 FC St. Pauli win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 25, 20261. FC Heidenheim 2-0 FC St. PauliBundesliga
Dec 13, 2025FC St. Pauli 2-1 1. FC HeidenheimBundesliga
Jan 18, 20251. FC Heidenheim 0-2 FC St. PauliBundesliga
Aug 25, 2024FC St. Pauli 0-2 1. FC HeidenheimBundesliga
Apr 8, 20231. FC Heidenheim 0-1 FC St. Pauli2. Bundesliga
Oct 1, 2022FC St. Pauli 0-0 1. FC Heidenheim2. Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: 1. FC Heidenheim vs FC St. Pauli on Apr 25, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

1. FC Heidenheim score 2.5 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; FC St. Pauli score 1.3 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
1. FC Heidenheim2.51.9211/1511/15
FC St. Pauli1.32.0012/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

1. FC Heidenheim sit 9th in 2. Bundesliga (3 points from 2 matches) and FC St. Pauli sit 13th (2 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
91. FC Heidenheim2101573
13FC St. Pauli2020332

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for 1. FC Heidenheim vs FC St. Pauli?
The Footlab model makes 1. FC Heidenheim the favourite at 53%, against 23% for a draw and 23% for FC St. Pauli.
Where and when is 1. FC Heidenheim vs FC St. Pauli played?
1. FC Heidenheim vs FC St. Pauli is played on April 24, 2027 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Voith-Arena, in the 2. Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: 1. FC Heidenheim and FC St. Pauli

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