1. FC Heidenheim vs FC St. Pauli: prediction and stats
2. BundesligaRegular Season - 31Kick-off on April 24, 2027 at 11:30 AM (UTC)Voith-Arena, Heidenheim an der Brenz
The Footlab model makes 1. FC Heidenheim the favourite at 53%, against 23% for a draw and 23% for FC St. Pauli. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win 1. FC Heidenheim vs FC St. Pauli?
A very open match: only 8 Elo points separate 1. FC Heidenheim (1,968) and FC St. Pauli (1,960).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, 1. FC Heidenheim have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; FC St. Pauli have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | SSV Jeddeloh(away) | 2-5 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Bayern München(home) | 2-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hertha BSC(away) | 1-4 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | VfL Osnabrück(home) | 4-3 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | FC Ingolstadt 04(home) | 4-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Rot-Weiß Essen(away) | 0-2 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Holstein Kiel(away) | 2-2 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth(home) | 1-1 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Deportivo La Coruna(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Bournemouth(away) | 1-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 1. FC Heidenheim win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 FC St. Pauli win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | 1. FC Heidenheim 2-0 FC St. Pauli | Bundesliga |
| Dec 13, 2025 | FC St. Pauli 2-1 1. FC Heidenheim | Bundesliga |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 1. FC Heidenheim 0-2 FC St. Pauli | Bundesliga |
| Aug 25, 2024 | FC St. Pauli 0-2 1. FC Heidenheim | Bundesliga |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 1. FC Heidenheim 0-1 FC St. Pauli | 2. Bundesliga |
| Oct 1, 2022 | FC St. Pauli 0-0 1. FC Heidenheim | 2. Bundesliga |
Last archived meeting: 1. FC Heidenheim vs FC St. Pauli on Apr 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
1. FC Heidenheim score 2.5 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; FC St. Pauli score 1.3 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. FC Heidenheim | 2.5 | 1.9 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| FC St. Pauli | 1.3 | 2.0 | 0 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
1. FC Heidenheim sit 9th in 2. Bundesliga (3 points from 2 matches) and FC St. Pauli sit 13th (2 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 1. FC Heidenheim | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 3 |
| 13 | FC St. Pauli | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for 1. FC Heidenheim vs FC St. Pauli?
- The Footlab model makes 1. FC Heidenheim the favourite at 53%, against 23% for a draw and 23% for FC St. Pauli.
- Where and when is 1. FC Heidenheim vs FC St. Pauli played?
- 1. FC Heidenheim vs FC St. Pauli is played on April 24, 2027 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Voith-Arena, in the 2. Bundesliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 24, 2027Hertha BSCvsHannover 96
- Apr 24, 2027VfL Bochumvs1. FC Nürnberg
- Apr 24, 2027SpVgg Greuther Fürthvs1. FC Kaiserslautern
- Apr 24, 20271. FC MagdeburgvsVfL Wolfsburg
- Apr 24, 2027Dynamo DresdenvsArminia Bielefeld
- Apr 24, 2027Holstein KielvsKarlsruher SC
- Apr 24, 2027Eintracht BraunschweigvsSV Darmstadt 98
- Apr 24, 2027VfL OsnabrückvsEnergie Cottbus