Match

VfL Bochum vs 1. FC Nürnberg: prediction and stats

2. BundesligaRegular Season - 31Kick-off on April 24, 2027 at 11:30 AM (UTC)Vonovia Ruhrstadion, Bochum

VfL Bochum1. FC Nürnberg

The Footlab model makes VfL Bochum the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for 1. FC Nürnberg. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win VfL Bochum vs 1. FC Nürnberg?

A very open match: only 37 Elo points separate VfL Bochum (1,986) and 1. FC Nürnberg (2,023).

VfL Bochum win39 %
Draw25 %
1. FC Nürnberg win36 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, VfL Bochum have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; 1. FC Nürnberg have 8, 6 and 1.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

VfL Bochum
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026SpVgg Greuther Fürth(away)2-1DFB Pokal
Aug 14, 2026Eintracht Braunschweig(away)1-02. Bundesliga
Aug 7, 2026Hertha BSC(home)0-12. Bundesliga
Aug 1, 2026Sheffield Utd(home)0-0Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026Werder Bremen(away)0-2Friendlies Clubs
1. FC Nürnberg
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026FC Viktoria Köln(away)1-1DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026SpVgg Greuther Fürth(away)4-22. Bundesliga
Aug 9, 2026Dynamo Dresden(home)3-02. Bundesliga
Aug 1, 2026Oviedo(home)2-1Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026Palermo(away)2-2Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 VfL Bochum win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 1. FC Nürnberg win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 20, 2026VfL Bochum 1-1 1. FC Nürnberg2. Bundesliga
Sep 20, 20251. FC Nürnberg 2-1 VfL Bochum2. Bundesliga
May 16, 20211. FC Nürnberg 1-1 VfL Bochum2. Bundesliga
Jan 16, 2021VfL Bochum 3-1 1. FC Nürnberg2. Bundesliga
May 30, 20201. FC Nürnberg 0-0 VfL Bochum2. Bundesliga
Nov 4, 2019VfL Bochum 3-1 1. FC Nürnberg2. Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: VfL Bochum vs 1. FC Nürnberg on Feb 20, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

VfL Bochum score 1.3 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; 1. FC Nürnberg score 2.7 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
VfL Bochum1.31.239/156/15
1. FC Nürnberg2.71.2410/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

VfL Bochum sit 7th in 2. Bundesliga (3 points from 2 matches) and 1. FC Nürnberg sit 1st (6 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
11. FC Nürnberg2200726
7VfL Bochum2101113

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for VfL Bochum vs 1. FC Nürnberg?
The Footlab model makes VfL Bochum the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for 1. FC Nürnberg.
Where and when is VfL Bochum vs 1. FC Nürnberg played?
VfL Bochum vs 1. FC Nürnberg is played on April 24, 2027 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Vonovia Ruhrstadion, in the 2. Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: VfL Bochum and 1. FC Nürnberg

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