1. FC Magdeburg vs VfL Wolfsburg: prediction and stats
2. BundesligaRegular Season - 31Kick-off on April 24, 2027 at 11:30 AM (UTC)MDCC-Arena, Magdeburg
The Footlab model makes 1. FC Magdeburg the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for VfL Wolfsburg. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win 1. FC Magdeburg vs VfL Wolfsburg?
A very open match: only 49 Elo points separate 1. FC Magdeburg (1,982) and VfL Wolfsburg (2,031).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, 1. FC Magdeburg have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; VfL Wolfsburg have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Bahlinger SC(away) | 4-0 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | VfL Osnabrück(away) | 3-0 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Eintracht Braunschweig(home) | 1-6 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | West Ham(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Schöningen(away) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Altglienicke(away) | 3-3 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Hannover 96(away) | 1-0 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern(home) | 0-0 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Telstar(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Lyon(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 1. FC Magdeburg win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 VfL Wolfsburg win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 26, 2025 | 1. FC Magdeburg 3-4 VfL Wolfsburg | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 5, 2020 | 1. FC Magdeburg 1-4 VfL Wolfsburg | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: 1. FC Magdeburg vs VfL Wolfsburg on Jul 26, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
1. FC Magdeburg score 2.3 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; VfL Wolfsburg score 1.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. FC Magdeburg | 2.3 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| VfL Wolfsburg | 1.7 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
1. FC Magdeburg sit 10th in 2. Bundesliga (3 points from 2 matches) and VfL Wolfsburg sit 4th (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | VfL Wolfsburg | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 10 | 1. FC Magdeburg | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for 1. FC Magdeburg vs VfL Wolfsburg?
- The Footlab model makes 1. FC Magdeburg the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for VfL Wolfsburg.
- Where and when is 1. FC Magdeburg vs VfL Wolfsburg played?
- 1. FC Magdeburg vs VfL Wolfsburg is played on April 24, 2027 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at MDCC-Arena, in the 2. Bundesliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Apr 24, 2027VfL Bochumvs1. FC Nürnberg
- Apr 24, 2027SpVgg Greuther Fürthvs1. FC Kaiserslautern
- Apr 24, 20271. FC HeidenheimvsFC St. Pauli
- Apr 24, 2027Dynamo DresdenvsArminia Bielefeld
- Apr 24, 2027Holstein KielvsKarlsruher SC
- Apr 24, 2027Eintracht BraunschweigvsSV Darmstadt 98
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