Match

1. FC Magdeburg vs VfL Wolfsburg: prediction and stats

2. BundesligaRegular Season - 31Kick-off on April 24, 2027 at 11:30 AM (UTC)MDCC-Arena, Magdeburg

1. FC MagdeburgVfL Wolfsburg

The Footlab model makes 1. FC Magdeburg the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for VfL Wolfsburg. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win 1. FC Magdeburg vs VfL Wolfsburg?

A very open match: only 49 Elo points separate 1. FC Magdeburg (1,982) and VfL Wolfsburg (2,031).

1. FC Magdeburg win40 %
Draw26 %
VfL Wolfsburg win35 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, 1. FC Magdeburg have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; VfL Wolfsburg have 6, 5 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

1. FC Magdeburg
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Bahlinger SC(away)4-0DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026VfL Osnabrück(away)3-02. Bundesliga
Aug 8, 2026Eintracht Braunschweig(home)1-62. Bundesliga
Aug 1, 2026West Ham(home)1-1Friendlies Clubs
Jul 18, 2026Schöningen(away)4-0Friendlies Clubs
VfL Wolfsburg
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 24, 2026Altglienicke(away)3-3DFB Pokal
Aug 16, 2026Hannover 96(away)1-02. Bundesliga
Aug 8, 20261. FC Kaiserslautern(home)0-02. Bundesliga
Jul 31, 2026Telstar(home)3-1Friendlies Clubs
Jul 24, 2026Lyon(home)0-2Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 1. FC Magdeburg win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 VfL Wolfsburg win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jul 26, 20251. FC Magdeburg 3-4 VfL WolfsburgFriendlies Clubs
Sep 5, 20201. FC Magdeburg 1-4 VfL WolfsburgFriendlies Clubs

Last archived meeting: 1. FC Magdeburg vs VfL Wolfsburg on Jul 26, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

1. FC Magdeburg score 2.3 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; VfL Wolfsburg score 1.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
1. FC Magdeburg2.31.258/159/15
VfL Wolfsburg1.71.158/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

1. FC Magdeburg sit 10th in 2. Bundesliga (3 points from 2 matches) and VfL Wolfsburg sit 4th (4 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4VfL Wolfsburg2110104
101. FC Magdeburg2101463

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for 1. FC Magdeburg vs VfL Wolfsburg?
The Footlab model makes 1. FC Magdeburg the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for VfL Wolfsburg.
Where and when is 1. FC Magdeburg vs VfL Wolfsburg played?
1. FC Magdeburg vs VfL Wolfsburg is played on April 24, 2027 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at MDCC-Arena, in the 2. Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: 1. FC Magdeburg and VfL Wolfsburg

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