Where and when is FC Augsburg vs Borussia Dortmund played?

FC Augsburg vs Borussia Dortmund is played on April 17, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at WWK Arena, in the Bundesliga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

FC Augsburg vs Borussia Dortmund: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 30Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)WWK Arena, Augsburg

FC Augsburg

Borussia Dortmund

The Footlab model makes Borussia Dortmund the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for FC Augsburg. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win FC Augsburg vs Borussia Dortmund?

Borussia Dortmund starts as the favourite with a 220-point Elo edge (2,293 vs 2,073).

FC Augsburg win28 %

Draw23 %

Borussia Dortmund win49 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Augsburg have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Borussia Dortmund have 8, 1 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

FC Augsburg
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Energie Cottbus(away)	2-0	DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026	Leeds(away)	0-4	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026	Sassuolo(home)	3-2	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 5, 2026	Schwaz(away)	15-0	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 30, 2026	Bournemouth(home)	2-5	Friendlies Clubs

Borussia Dortmund
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Bayern München(home)	1-2	Super Cup
Aug 15, 2026	AS Roma(home)	2-2	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 9, 2026	Arsenal(away)	3-2	Emirates Cup
Aug 1, 2026	FC Tokyo(away)	1-0	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 29, 2026	Cerezo Osaka(away)	0-1	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 FC Augsburg win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Borussia Dortmund win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 14, 2026	Borussia Dortmund 2-0 FC Augsburg	Bundesliga
Oct 31, 2025	FC Augsburg 0-1 Borussia Dortmund	Bundesliga
Mar 8, 2025	Borussia Dortmund 0-1 FC Augsburg	Bundesliga
Oct 26, 2024	FC Augsburg 2-1 Borussia Dortmund	Bundesliga
May 4, 2024	Borussia Dortmund 5-1 FC Augsburg	Bundesliga
Dec 16, 2023	FC Augsburg 1-1 Borussia Dortmund	Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: Borussia Dortmund vs FC Augsburg on Mar 14, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

FC Augsburg score 2.5 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Borussia Dortmund score 1.7 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
FC Augsburg	2.5	2.0	2	10/15	10/15
Borussia Dortmund	1.7	1.2	4	8/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

FC Augsburg sit 9th in Bundesliga (43 points from 34 matches) and Borussia Dortmund sit 2nd (73 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
2	Borussia Dortmund	34	22	7	5	70	34	73
9	FC Augsburg	34	12	7	15	45	61	43

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for FC Augsburg vs Borussia Dortmund?: The Footlab model makes Borussia Dortmund the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for FC Augsburg.
Where and when is FC Augsburg vs Borussia Dortmund played?: FC Augsburg vs Borussia Dortmund is played on April 17, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at WWK Arena, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.