Match

FC Augsburg vs Borussia Dortmund: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 30Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)WWK Arena, Augsburg

FC AugsburgBorussia Dortmund

The Footlab AI model makes Borussia Dortmund the favourite at 45%, against 23% for a draw and 32% for FC Augsburg. The most likely score is 1-1. If Borussia Dortmund wins, the most likely score is 1-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,930 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win FC Augsburg vs Borussia Dortmund?

Borussia Dortmund starts as the favourite with a 209-point Elo edge (2,343 vs 2,134).

32%23%45%
FC Augsburg winDrawBorussia Dortmund win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for FC Augsburg vs Borussia Dortmund

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

FC Augsburg

3-4-2-1
  1. 9Rodrigo Ribeiro
  1. 16Hennes Behrens
  2. 4H. Massengo
  3. 19R. Fellhauer
  4. 32F. Rieder
  5. 21A. Ibrahimović
  6. 27M. Wolf
  1. 2C. Brackelmann
  2. 5C. Matsima
  3. 35Abdulay Bah
  1. 1F. Dahmen

Borussia Dortmund

3-4-2-1
  1. 9S. Guirassy
  1. 24D. Svensson
  2. 8F. Nmecha
  3. 14M. Beier
  4. 26J. Ryerson
  5. 7J. Bellingham
  6. 18E. Nwaneri
  1. 3W. Anton
  2. 4N. Schlotterbeck
  3. 22Kouakou Joane Gadou
  1. 1G. Kobel

Computed on October 21, 2026 at 03:12 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Augsburg have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Borussia Dortmund have 9, 3 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

FC Augsburg
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026SV Elversberg(away)3-4Bundesliga
Oct 10, 2026Bayern München(home)2-2Bundesliga
Oct 2, 2026Hertha BSC(home)2-2Friendlies Clubs
Sep 19, 2026Werder Bremen(away)2-3Bundesliga
Sep 12, 2026Bayer Leverkusen(home)2-2Bundesliga
Borussia Dortmund
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 20, 2026Sabah FA(away)2-1UEFA Champions League
Oct 17, 2026Union Berlin(away)0-0Bundesliga
Oct 14, 2026Bodo/Glimt(away)0-1UEFA Champions League
Oct 9, 2026Werder Bremen(home)2-2Bundesliga
Sep 19, 2026VfB Stuttgart(away)1-0Bundesliga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 FC Augsburg wins, 1 draw, 3 Borussia Dortmund wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 14, 2026Borussia Dortmund 2-0 FC AugsburgBundesliga
Oct 31, 2025FC Augsburg 0-1 Borussia DortmundBundesliga
Mar 8, 2025Borussia Dortmund 0-1 FC AugsburgBundesliga
Oct 26, 2024FC Augsburg 2-1 Borussia DortmundBundesliga
May 4, 2024Borussia Dortmund 5-1 FC AugsburgBundesliga
Dec 16, 2023FC Augsburg 1-1 Borussia DortmundBundesliga

Last archived meeting: Borussia Dortmund vs FC Augsburg on Mar 14, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

FC Augsburg score 2.9 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Borussia Dortmund score 1.9 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
FC Augsburg2.92.1310/1513/15
Borussia Dortmund1.91.067/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

FC Augsburg sit 10th in Bundesliga (8 points from 6 matches) and Borussia Dortmund sit 2nd (14 points from 6 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Borussia Dortmund642011414
10FC Augsburg622216128

A question about FC Augsburg vs Borussia Dortmund?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for FC Augsburg vs Borussia Dortmund?
The Footlab AI model makes Borussia Dortmund the favourite at 45%, against 23% for a draw and 32% for FC Augsburg.
Where and when is FC Augsburg vs Borussia Dortmund played?
FC Augsburg vs Borussia Dortmund is played on April 17, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at WWK Arena, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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