Match

RB Leipzig vs 1. FC Köln: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 30Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Red Bull Arena, Leipzig

RB Leipzig1. FC Köln

The Footlab AI model makes RB Leipzig the favourite at 62%, against 20% for a draw and 18% for 1. FC Köln. The most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.9% of the 5,215 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win RB Leipzig vs 1. FC Köln?

RB Leipzig starts as the favourite with a 169-point Elo edge (2,216 vs 2,048).

62%20%18%
RB Leipzig winDraw1. FC Köln win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for RB Leipzig vs 1. FC Köln

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

RB Leipzig

4-5-1
  1. 40Rômulo
  1. 6E. Banzuzi
  2. 21N. El Aynaoui
  3. 10B. Gruda
  4. 27T. Gomis
  5. 28C. Nkunku
  1. 4W. Orbán
  2. 22D. Raum
  3. 23C. Lukeba
  4. 17R. Baku
  1. 26Maarten Vandevoordt

1. FC Köln

3-5-2
  1. 30M. Bülter
  2. 10S. El Mala
  1. 37L. Maina
  2. 3B. Sosa
  3. 28S. Sebulonsen
  4. 23Paul Okon-Engstler
  5. 47M. Moore
  1. 22Jahmai Simpson-Pusey
  2. 5T. Krauß
  3. 2J. Schmied
  1. 1M. Schwäbe

Computed on November 9, 2026 at 07:09 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, RB Leipzig have 9 wins, 0 draws and 6 defeats; 1. FC Köln have 6, 5 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

RB Leipzig
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 7, 2026FC Augsburg(home)5-2Bundesliga
Nov 4, 2026Manchester City(home)2-3UEFA Champions League
Oct 31, 2026FC Schalke 04(away)2-0Bundesliga
Oct 27, 2026Rot-Weiß Essen(away)2-1DFB Pokal
Oct 24, 2026SV Elversberg(home)4-0Bundesliga
1. FC Köln
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 8, 2026Bayer Leverkusen(home)1-2Bundesliga
Nov 1, 2026Union Berlin(away)1-1Bundesliga
Oct 27, 2026Union Berlin(home)5-0DFB Pokal
Oct 24, 2026FC Schalke 04(home)0-0Bundesliga
Oct 16, 2026Eintracht Frankfurt(away)0-1Bundesliga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 RB Leipzig wins, 2 draws, 0 1. FC Köln wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 8, 20261. FC Köln 1-2 RB LeipzigBundesliga
Sep 20, 2025RB Leipzig 3-1 1. FC KölnBundesliga
Mar 15, 20241. FC Köln 1-5 RB LeipzigBundesliga
Oct 28, 2023RB Leipzig 6-0 1. FC KölnBundesliga
Feb 4, 20231. FC Köln 0-0 RB LeipzigBundesliga
Aug 13, 2022RB Leipzig 2-2 1. FC KölnBundesliga

Last archived meeting: 1. FC Köln vs RB Leipzig on Feb 8, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

RB Leipzig score 2.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; 1. FC Köln score 2.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
RB Leipzig2.71.777/1512/15
1. FC Köln2.11.3311/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

RB Leipzig sit 4th in Bundesliga (18 points from 9 matches) and 1. FC Köln sit 15th (9 points from 9 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4RB Leipzig9603271318
151. FC Köln923410149

A question about RB Leipzig vs 1. FC Köln?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for RB Leipzig vs 1. FC Köln?
The Footlab AI model makes RB Leipzig the favourite at 62%, against 20% for a draw and 18% for 1. FC Köln.
Where and when is RB Leipzig vs 1. FC Köln played?
RB Leipzig vs 1. FC Köln is played on April 17, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Red Bull Arena, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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