Where and when is RB Leipzig vs 1. FC Köln played?

RB Leipzig vs 1. FC Köln is played on April 17, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Red Bull Arena, in the Bundesliga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

RB Leipzig vs 1. FC Köln: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 30Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Red Bull Arena, Leipzig

RB Leipzig

1. FC Köln

The Footlab model makes RB Leipzig the favourite at 53%, against 22% for a draw and 25% for 1. FC Köln. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win RB Leipzig vs 1. FC Köln?

RB Leipzig starts as the favourite with a 161-point Elo edge (2,209 vs 2,048).

RB Leipzig win53 %

Draw22 %

1. FC Köln win25 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, RB Leipzig have 10 wins, 0 draws and 5 defeats; 1. FC Köln have 4, 6 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

RB Leipzig
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Eintracht Trier(away)	6-0	DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026	Bayern München(away)	1-3	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026	Leeds(away)	0-2	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026	Verl(home)	4-0	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026	FC Ingolstadt 04(home)	1-0	Friendlies Clubs

1. FC Köln
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 24, 2026	Würzburger Kickers(away)	2-1	DFB Pokal
Aug 8, 2026	Real Sociedad(home)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 31, 2026	Hertha BSC(home)	2-2	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 23, 2026	Bergisch Gladbach(away)	8-0	Friendlies Clubs
May 16, 2026	Bayern München(away)	1-5	Bundesliga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 RB Leipzig win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 1. FC Köln win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Feb 8, 2026	1. FC Köln 1-2 RB Leipzig	Bundesliga
Sep 20, 2025	RB Leipzig 3-1 1. FC Köln	Bundesliga
Mar 15, 2024	1. FC Köln 1-5 RB Leipzig	Bundesliga
Oct 28, 2023	RB Leipzig 6-0 1. FC Köln	Bundesliga
Feb 4, 2023	1. FC Köln 0-0 RB Leipzig	Bundesliga
Aug 13, 2022	RB Leipzig 2-2 1. FC Köln	Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: 1. FC Köln vs RB Leipzig on Feb 8, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

RB Leipzig score 2.2 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; 1. FC Köln score 2.0 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
RB Leipzig	2.2	1.4	5	9/15	12/15
1. FC Köln	2.0	1.9	1	13/15	12/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

RB Leipzig sit 3rd in Bundesliga (65 points from 34 matches) and 1. FC Köln sit 14th (32 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
3	RB Leipzig	34	20	5	9	66	47	65
14	1. FC Köln	34	7	11	16	49	63	32

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for RB Leipzig vs 1. FC Köln?: The Footlab model makes RB Leipzig the favourite at 53%, against 22% for a draw and 25% for 1. FC Köln.
Where and when is RB Leipzig vs 1. FC Köln played?: RB Leipzig vs 1. FC Köln is played on April 17, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Red Bull Arena, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.