1. FC Magdeburg vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern: prediction and stats
2. BundesligaRegular Season - 5Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC)MDCC-Arena, Magdeburg
The Footlab model makes 1. FC Magdeburg the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for 1. FC Kaiserslautern. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win 1. FC Magdeburg vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern?
A very open match: only 25 Elo points separate 1. FC Magdeburg (1,965) and 1. FC Kaiserslautern (1,990).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, 1. FC Magdeburg have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; 1. FC Kaiserslautern have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Bahlinger SC(away) | 4-0 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | VfL Osnabrück(away) | 3-0 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Eintracht Braunschweig(home) | 1-6 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | West Ham(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Schöningen(away) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Waldhof Mannheim(away) | 1-0 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Karlsruher SC(home) | 0-0 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | VfL Wolfsburg(away) | 0-0 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Metz(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Sudtirol(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 1. FC Magdeburg win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 1. FC Kaiserslautern win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | 1. FC Magdeburg 0-1 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 2. Bundesliga |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern 2-3 1. FC Magdeburg | 2. Bundesliga |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 1. FC Magdeburg 2-0 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 2. Bundesliga |
| Nov 3, 2024 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern 2-2 1. FC Magdeburg | 2. Bundesliga |
| May 4, 2024 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern 4-1 1. FC Magdeburg | 2. Bundesliga |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 1. FC Magdeburg 4-1 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 2. Bundesliga |
Last archived meeting: 1. FC Magdeburg vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern on May 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
1. FC Magdeburg score 2.3 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; 1. FC Kaiserslautern score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. FC Magdeburg | 2.3 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 1.1 | 1.1 | 8 | 3/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
1. FC Magdeburg sit 10th in 2. Bundesliga (3 points from 2 matches) and 1. FC Kaiserslautern sit 14th (2 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 1. FC Magdeburg | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 3 |
| 14 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for 1. FC Magdeburg vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern?
- The Footlab model makes 1. FC Magdeburg the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for 1. FC Kaiserslautern.
- Where and when is 1. FC Magdeburg vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern played?
- 1. FC Magdeburg vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern is played on September 12, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at MDCC-Arena, in the 2. Bundesliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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