Where and when is 1. FC Heidenheim vs Holstein Kiel played?

1. FC Heidenheim vs Holstein Kiel is played on September 12, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Voith-Arena, in the 2. Bundesliga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

1. FC Heidenheim vs Holstein Kiel: prediction and stats

2. BundesligaRegular Season - 5Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC)Voith-Arena, Heidenheim an der Brenz

1. FC Heidenheim

Holstein Kiel

The Footlab model makes 1. FC Heidenheim the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Holstein Kiel. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win 1. FC Heidenheim vs Holstein Kiel?

A very open match: only 5 Elo points separate 1. FC Heidenheim (1,981) and Holstein Kiel (1,976).

1. FC Heidenheim win45 %

Draw25 %

Holstein Kiel win30 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, 1. FC Heidenheim have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Holstein Kiel have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

1. FC Heidenheim
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	SSV Jeddeloh(away)	2-5	DFB Pokal
Aug 18, 2026	Bayern München(home)	2-4	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 15, 2026	Hertha BSC(away)	1-4	2. Bundesliga
Aug 8, 2026	VfL Osnabrück(home)	4-3	2. Bundesliga
Aug 1, 2026	FC Ingolstadt 04(home)	4-1	Friendlies Clubs

Holstein Kiel
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	TSV 1860 München(away)	2-0	DFB Pokal
Aug 14, 2026	FC St. Pauli(home)	2-2	2. Bundesliga
Aug 8, 2026	SV Darmstadt 98(away)	2-2	2. Bundesliga
Jul 29, 2026	1899 Hoffenheim(away)	1-3	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026	FSV Mainz 05(away)	0-3	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 1. FC Heidenheim win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Holstein Kiel win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 16, 2025	1. FC Heidenheim 3-1 Holstein Kiel	Bundesliga
Nov 2, 2024	Holstein Kiel 1-0 1. FC Heidenheim	Bundesliga
Apr 23, 2023	1. FC Heidenheim 3-0 Holstein Kiel	2. Bundesliga
Oct 16, 2022	Holstein Kiel 3-1 1. FC Heidenheim	2. Bundesliga
Apr 23, 2022	Holstein Kiel 1-1 1. FC Heidenheim	2. Bundesliga
Nov 21, 2021	1. FC Heidenheim 2-1 Holstein Kiel	2. Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: 1. FC Heidenheim vs Holstein Kiel on Mar 16, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

1. FC Heidenheim score 2.5 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Holstein Kiel score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
1. FC Heidenheim	2.5	1.9	2	11/15	11/15
Holstein Kiel	1.7	1.5	4	10/15	12/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

1. FC Heidenheim sit 9th in 2. Bundesliga (3 points from 2 matches) and Holstein Kiel sit 12th (2 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
9	1. FC Heidenheim	2	1	0	1	5	7	3
12	Holstein Kiel	2	0	2	0	4	4	2

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for 1. FC Heidenheim vs Holstein Kiel?: The Footlab model makes 1. FC Heidenheim the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Holstein Kiel.
Where and when is 1. FC Heidenheim vs Holstein Kiel played?: 1. FC Heidenheim vs Holstein Kiel is played on September 12, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Voith-Arena, in the 2. Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.