Where and when is VfL Bochum vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth played?

VfL Bochum vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth is played on September 12, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Vonovia Ruhrstadion, in the 2. Bundesliga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

VfL Bochum vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth: prediction and stats

2. BundesligaRegular Season - 5Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC)Vonovia Ruhrstadion, Bochum

VfL Bochum

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

The Footlab model makes VfL Bochum the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for SpVgg Greuther Fürth. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win VfL Bochum vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth?

VfL Bochum starts as the favourite with a 108-point Elo edge (1,984 vs 1,876).

VfL Bochum win50 %

Draw25 %

SpVgg Greuther Fürth win25 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, VfL Bochum have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; SpVgg Greuther Fürth have 4, 3 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

VfL Bochum
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	SpVgg Greuther Fürth(away)	2-1	DFB Pokal
Aug 14, 2026	Eintracht Braunschweig(away)	1-0	2. Bundesliga
Aug 7, 2026	Hertha BSC(home)	0-1	2. Bundesliga
Aug 1, 2026	Sheffield Utd(home)	0-0	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026	Werder Bremen(away)	0-2	Friendlies Clubs

SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	VfL Bochum(home)	1-2	DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026	1. FC Nürnberg(home)	2-4	2. Bundesliga
Aug 9, 2026	FC St. Pauli(away)	1-1	2. Bundesliga
Jul 18, 2026	FC Zurich(away)	3-2	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 11, 2026	Eintracht Bamberg(home)	1-3	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 6 VfL Bochum win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 SpVgg Greuther Fürth win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1-2 VfL Bochum	DFB Pokal
Apr 26, 2026	VfL Bochum 2-1 SpVgg Greuther Fürth	2. Bundesliga
Nov 29, 2025	SpVgg Greuther Fürth 0-3 VfL Bochum	2. Bundesliga
Mar 5, 2022	VfL Bochum 2-1 SpVgg Greuther Fürth	Bundesliga
Oct 16, 2021	SpVgg Greuther Fürth 0-1 VfL Bochum	Bundesliga
Mar 6, 2021	SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1-2 VfL Bochum	2. Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs VfL Bochum on Aug 23, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

VfL Bochum score 1.3 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; SpVgg Greuther Fürth score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
VfL Bochum	1.3	1.2	3	9/15	6/15
SpVgg Greuther Fürth	1.3	1.7	3	9/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

VfL Bochum sit 7th in 2. Bundesliga (3 points from 2 matches) and SpVgg Greuther Fürth sit 16th (1 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
7	VfL Bochum	2	1	0	1	1	1	3
16	SpVgg Greuther Fürth	2	0	1	1	3	5	1

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for VfL Bochum vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth?: The Footlab model makes VfL Bochum the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for SpVgg Greuther Fürth.
Where and when is VfL Bochum vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth played?: VfL Bochum vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth is played on September 12, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Vonovia Ruhrstadion, in the 2. Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.