Match

VfL Osnabrück vs Hertha BSC: prediction and stats

2. BundesligaRegular Season - 5Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC)Bremer Brücke, Osnabrück

VfL OsnabrückHertha BSC

The Footlab model makes VfL Osnabrück the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Hertha BSC. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 21, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win VfL Osnabrück vs Hertha BSC?

A very open match: only 36 Elo points separate VfL Osnabrück (2,005) and Hertha BSC (2,041).

VfL Osnabrück win40 %
Draw26 %
Hertha BSC win34 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, VfL Osnabrück have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Hertha BSC have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

VfL Osnabrück
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 18, 2026Spelle-Venhaus(away)5-3Friendlies Clubs
Aug 15, 20261. FC Magdeburg(home)0-32. Bundesliga
Aug 8, 20261. FC Heidenheim(away)3-42. Bundesliga
Aug 1, 2026SC Paderborn 07(home)0-2Friendlies Clubs
Jul 24, 2026Nordhorn(away)7-0Friendlies Clubs
Hertha BSC
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 15, 20261. FC Heidenheim(home)4-12. Bundesliga
Aug 7, 2026VfL Bochum(away)1-02. Bundesliga
Jul 31, 20261. FC Köln(away)2-2Friendlies Clubs
Jul 21, 2026Mamelodi Sundowns(home)1-1Friendlies Clubs
Jul 17, 2026WSG Wattens(away)2-3Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 VfL Osnabrück win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Hertha BSC win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 19, 2024VfL Osnabrück 2-1 Hertha BSC2. Bundesliga
Dec 16, 2023Hertha BSC 0-0 VfL Osnabrück2. Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: VfL Osnabrück vs Hertha BSC on May 19, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

VfL Osnabrück score 2.2 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Hertha BSC score 2.8 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
VfL Osnabrück2.21.647/159/15
Hertha BSC2.81.348/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

VfL Osnabrück sit 18th in 2. Bundesliga (0 points from 2 matches) and Hertha BSC sit 2nd (6 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Hertha BSC2200516
18VfL Osnabrück2002370

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for VfL Osnabrück vs Hertha BSC?
The Footlab model makes VfL Osnabrück the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Hertha BSC.
Where and when is VfL Osnabrück vs Hertha BSC played?
VfL Osnabrück vs Hertha BSC is played on September 12, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Bremer Brücke, in the 2. Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: VfL Osnabrück and Hertha BSC

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