VfL Osnabrück vs Hertha BSC: prediction and stats
2. BundesligaRegular Season - 5Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC)Bremer Brücke, Osnabrück
The Footlab model makes VfL Osnabrück the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Hertha BSC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 21, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win VfL Osnabrück vs Hertha BSC?
A very open match: only 36 Elo points separate VfL Osnabrück (2,005) and Hertha BSC (2,041).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, VfL Osnabrück have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Hertha BSC have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | Spelle-Venhaus(away) | 5-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 15, 2026 | 1. FC Magdeburg(home) | 0-3 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | 1. FC Heidenheim(away) | 3-4 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | SC Paderborn 07(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Nordhorn(away) | 7-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | 1. FC Heidenheim(home) | 4-1 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 7, 2026 | VfL Bochum(away) | 1-0 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Jul 31, 2026 | 1. FC Köln(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Mamelodi Sundowns(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 17, 2026 | WSG Wattens(away) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 VfL Osnabrück win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Hertha BSC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 19, 2024 | VfL Osnabrück 2-1 Hertha BSC | 2. Bundesliga |
| Dec 16, 2023 | Hertha BSC 0-0 VfL Osnabrück | 2. Bundesliga |
Last archived meeting: VfL Osnabrück vs Hertha BSC on May 19, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
VfL Osnabrück score 2.2 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Hertha BSC score 2.8 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VfL Osnabrück | 2.2 | 1.6 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Hertha BSC | 2.8 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
VfL Osnabrück sit 18th in 2. Bundesliga (0 points from 2 matches) and Hertha BSC sit 2nd (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Hertha BSC | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
| 18 | VfL Osnabrück | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for VfL Osnabrück vs Hertha BSC?
- The Footlab model makes VfL Osnabrück the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Hertha BSC.
- Where and when is VfL Osnabrück vs Hertha BSC played?
- VfL Osnabrück vs Hertha BSC is played on September 12, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Bremer Brücke, in the 2. Bundesliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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