Where and when is SV Darmstadt 98 vs Arminia Bielefeld played?

SV Darmstadt 98 vs Arminia Bielefeld is played on September 12, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Merck-Stadion am Böllenfalltor, in the 2. Bundesliga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

SV Darmstadt 98 vs Arminia Bielefeld: prediction and stats

2. BundesligaRegular Season - 5Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC)Merck-Stadion am Böllenfalltor, Darmstadt

SV Darmstadt 98

Arminia Bielefeld

The Footlab model makes SV Darmstadt 98 the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Arminia Bielefeld. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win SV Darmstadt 98 vs Arminia Bielefeld?

A very open match: only 24 Elo points separate SV Darmstadt 98 (1,986) and Arminia Bielefeld (2,010).

SV Darmstadt 98 win49 %

Draw24 %

Arminia Bielefeld win28 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SV Darmstadt 98 have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Arminia Bielefeld have 8, 4 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

SV Darmstadt 98
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 16, 2026	Dynamo Dresden(away)	0-1	2. Bundesliga
Aug 8, 2026	Holstein Kiel(home)	2-2	2. Bundesliga
Aug 1, 2026	Portsmouth(home)	0-0	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026	SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach(away)	7-2	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 17, 2026	FC Astoria Walldorf(away)	4-1	Friendlies Clubs

Arminia Bielefeld
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach(away)	2-2	DFB Pokal
Aug 16, 2026	Energie Cottbus(home)	3-0	2. Bundesliga
Aug 8, 2026	Karlsruher SC(away)	1-2	2. Bundesliga
Jul 25, 2026	MSV Duisburg(home)	1-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 18, 2026	Bologna(away)	4-0	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 SV Darmstadt 98 win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 Arminia Bielefeld win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 4, 2026	Arminia Bielefeld 2-1 SV Darmstadt 98	2. Bundesliga
Nov 1, 2025	SV Darmstadt 98 2-2 Arminia Bielefeld	2. Bundesliga
Mar 11, 2023	Arminia Bielefeld 3-1 SV Darmstadt 98	2. Bundesliga
Sep 4, 2022	SV Darmstadt 98 1-1 Arminia Bielefeld	2. Bundesliga
Jun 18, 2020	Arminia Bielefeld 1-0 SV Darmstadt 98	2. Bundesliga
Dec 1, 2019	SV Darmstadt 98 1-3 Arminia Bielefeld	2. Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: Arminia Bielefeld vs SV Darmstadt 98 on Apr 4, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

SV Darmstadt 98 score 2.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Arminia Bielefeld score 2.6 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
SV Darmstadt 98	2.1	1.7	1	11/15	9/15
Arminia Bielefeld	2.6	1.4	3	11/15	11/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

SV Darmstadt 98 sit 15th in 2. Bundesliga (1 points from 2 matches) and Arminia Bielefeld sit 6th (3 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
6	Arminia Bielefeld	2	1	0	1	4	2	3
15	SV Darmstadt 98	2	0	1	1	2	3	1

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for SV Darmstadt 98 vs Arminia Bielefeld?: The Footlab model makes SV Darmstadt 98 the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Arminia Bielefeld.
Where and when is SV Darmstadt 98 vs Arminia Bielefeld played?: SV Darmstadt 98 vs Arminia Bielefeld is played on September 12, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Merck-Stadion am Böllenfalltor, in the 2. Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.