Match

1. FC Magdeburg vs 1. FC Nürnberg: prediction and stats

2. BundesligaRegular Season - 15Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)MDCC-Arena, Magdeburg

1. FC Magdeburg1. FC Nürnberg

The Footlab model makes 1. FC Magdeburg the favourite at 39%, against 24% for a draw and 37% for 1. FC Nürnberg. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win 1. FC Magdeburg vs 1. FC Nürnberg?

A very open match: only 39 Elo points separate 1. FC Magdeburg (1,982) and 1. FC Nürnberg (2,021).

1. FC Magdeburg win39 %
Draw24 %
1. FC Nürnberg win37 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, 1. FC Magdeburg have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; 1. FC Nürnberg have 8, 6 and 1.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

1. FC Magdeburg
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Bahlinger SC(away)4-0DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026VfL Osnabrück(away)3-02. Bundesliga
Aug 8, 2026Eintracht Braunschweig(home)1-62. Bundesliga
Aug 1, 2026West Ham(home)1-1Friendlies Clubs
Jul 18, 2026Schöningen(away)4-0Friendlies Clubs
1. FC Nürnberg
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026FC Viktoria Köln(away)1-1DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026SpVgg Greuther Fürth(away)4-22. Bundesliga
Aug 9, 2026Dynamo Dresden(home)3-02. Bundesliga
Aug 1, 2026Oviedo(home)2-1Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026Palermo(away)2-2Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 1. FC Magdeburg win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 1. FC Nürnberg win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 26, 20261. FC Nürnberg 1-0 1. FC Magdeburg2. Bundesliga
Nov 29, 20251. FC Magdeburg 3-0 1. FC Nürnberg2. Bundesliga
Feb 8, 20251. FC Magdeburg 3-4 1. FC Nürnberg2. Bundesliga
Aug 31, 20241. FC Nürnberg 0-4 1. FC Magdeburg2. Bundesliga
Mar 9, 20241. FC Magdeburg 0-1 1. FC Nürnberg2. Bundesliga
Oct 1, 20231. FC Nürnberg 1-0 1. FC Magdeburg2. Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: 1. FC Nürnberg vs 1. FC Magdeburg on Apr 26, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

1. FC Magdeburg score 2.3 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; 1. FC Nürnberg score 2.7 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
1. FC Magdeburg2.31.258/159/15
1. FC Nürnberg2.71.2410/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

1. FC Magdeburg sit 10th in 2. Bundesliga (3 points from 2 matches) and 1. FC Nürnberg sit 1st (6 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
11. FC Nürnberg2200726
101. FC Magdeburg2101463

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for 1. FC Magdeburg vs 1. FC Nürnberg?
The Footlab model makes 1. FC Magdeburg the favourite at 39%, against 24% for a draw and 37% for 1. FC Nürnberg.
Where and when is 1. FC Magdeburg vs 1. FC Nürnberg played?
1. FC Magdeburg vs 1. FC Nürnberg is played on December 12, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at MDCC-Arena, in the 2. Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: 1. FC Magdeburg and 1. FC Nürnberg

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