Holstein Kiel vs Hannover 96: prediction and stats
2. BundesligaRegular Season - 15Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Holstein-Stadion, Kiel
The Footlab model makes Hannover 96 the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Holstein Kiel. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Holstein Kiel vs Hannover 96?
A very open match: only 94 Elo points separate Holstein Kiel (1,984) and Hannover 96 (2,078).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Holstein Kiel have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Hannover 96 have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | TSV 1860 München(away) | 2-0 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 14, 2026 | FC St. Pauli(home) | 2-2 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | SV Darmstadt 98(away) | 2-2 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Jul 29, 2026 | 1899 Hoffenheim(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | FSV Mainz 05(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hemelingen(away) | 9-1 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 16, 2026 | VfL Wolfsburg(home) | 0-1 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Energie Cottbus(away) | 1-3 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | PEC Zwolle(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 7, 2026 | Phönix Lübeck(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Holstein Kiel win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Hannover 96 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2026 | Hannover 96 3-1 Holstein Kiel | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Holstein Kiel 1-2 Hannover 96 | 2. Bundesliga |
| May 19, 2024 | Hannover 96 1-2 Holstein Kiel | 2. Bundesliga |
| Jan 13, 2024 | Hannover 96 3-2 Holstein Kiel | Friendlies Clubs |
| Dec 16, 2023 | Holstein Kiel 3-0 Hannover 96 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Jul 7, 2023 | Holstein Kiel 1-2 Hannover 96 | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Hannover 96 vs Holstein Kiel on Feb 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Holstein Kiel score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Hannover 96 score 2.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holstein Kiel | 1.7 | 1.5 | 4 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| Hannover 96 | 2.7 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Holstein Kiel sit 12th in 2. Bundesliga (2 points from 2 matches) and Hannover 96 sit 17th (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Holstein Kiel | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 2 |
| 17 | Hannover 96 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Holstein Kiel vs Hannover 96?
- The Footlab model makes Hannover 96 the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Holstein Kiel.
- Where and when is Holstein Kiel vs Hannover 96 played?
- Holstein Kiel vs Hannover 96 is played on December 12, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Holstein-Stadion, in the 2. Bundesliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 12, 2026Hertha BSCvsSV Darmstadt 98
- Dec 12, 2026VfL Bochumvs1. FC Heidenheim
- Dec 12, 2026SpVgg Greuther FürthvsVfL Wolfsburg
- Dec 12, 20261. FC Magdeburgvs1. FC Nürnberg
- Dec 12, 2026Dynamo DresdenvsEnergie Cottbus
- Dec 12, 2026Arminia Bielefeldvs1. FC Kaiserslautern
- Dec 12, 2026Eintracht BraunschweigvsKarlsruher SC
- Dec 12, 2026VfL OsnabrückvsFC St. Pauli