Holstein Kiel vs Hannover 96: prediction and stats
2. BundesligaRegular Season - 15Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Holstein-Stadion, Kiel
The Footlab AI model makes Hannover 96 the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Holstein Kiel. The most likely score is 1-1. If Hannover 96 wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,876 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Holstein Kiel vs Hannover 96?
A very open match: only 98 Elo points separate Holstein Kiel (1,999) and Hannover 96 (2,097).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Holstein Kiel vs Hannover 96
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Holstein Kiel
4-1-4-1- 19P. Harres
- 28J. Meffert
- 20A. Kaprálik
- 8G. Balzi
- 10J. Therkelsen
- 43T. Wiese
- 32H. Sekine
- 5N. Madsen
- 40Leon Parduzi
- 13I. Nekić
- 1T. Weiner
Hannover 96
4-4-2- 10M. Hartel
- 9B. Källman
- 29K. Oudenne
- 23S. Þórðarson
- 8W. Taïbi
- 13F. Roggow
- 33M. Neubauer
- 3B. Tomiak
- 4J. Hugonet
- 5V. Ghiță
- 30L. Weinkauf
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 08:13 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Holstein Kiel have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Hannover 96 have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Hertha BSC(home) | 0-0 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Eintracht Braunschweig(away) | 0-1 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Viborg(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | VfL Osnabrück(home) | 1-1 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Sep 13, 2026 | 1. FC Heidenheim(away) | 0-1 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | FC St. Pauli(home) | 1-1 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Oct 10, 2026 | 1. FC Magdeburg(away) | 0-3 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Verl(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 20, 2026 | VfL Bochum(home) | 2-1 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Sep 11, 2026 | 1. FC Nürnberg(away) | 1-2 | 2. Bundesliga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Holstein Kiel wins, 0 draws, 4 Hannover 96 wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2026 | Hannover 96 3-1 Holstein Kiel | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Holstein Kiel 1-2 Hannover 96 | 2. Bundesliga |
| May 19, 2024 | Hannover 96 1-2 Holstein Kiel | 2. Bundesliga |
| Jan 13, 2024 | Hannover 96 3-2 Holstein Kiel | Friendlies Clubs |
| Dec 16, 2023 | Holstein Kiel 3-0 Hannover 96 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Jul 7, 2023 | Holstein Kiel 1-2 Hannover 96 | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Hannover 96 vs Holstein Kiel on Feb 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Holstein Kiel score 1.4 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Hannover 96 score 2.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holstein Kiel | 1.4 | 1.5 | 2 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Hannover 96 | 2.4 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Holstein Kiel sit 18th in 2. Bundesliga (5 points from 8 matches) and Hannover 96 sit 14th (8 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Hannover 96 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 8 |
| 18 | Holstein Kiel | 8 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 5 |
A question about Holstein Kiel vs Hannover 96?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Holstein Kiel vs Hannover 96?
- The Footlab AI model makes Hannover 96 the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Holstein Kiel.
- Where and when is Holstein Kiel vs Hannover 96 played?
- Holstein Kiel vs Hannover 96 is played on December 12, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Holstein-Stadion, in the 2. Bundesliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 12, 2026Hertha BSCvsSV Darmstadt 98
- Dec 12, 2026VfL Bochumvs1. FC Heidenheim
- Dec 12, 2026SpVgg Greuther FürthvsVfL Wolfsburg
- Dec 12, 20261. FC Magdeburgvs1. FC Nürnberg
- Dec 12, 2026Dynamo DresdenvsEnergie Cottbus
- Dec 12, 2026Arminia Bielefeldvs1. FC Kaiserslautern
- Dec 12, 2026Eintracht BraunschweigvsKarlsruher SC
- Dec 12, 2026VfL OsnabrückvsFC St. Pauli