Match

Holstein Kiel vs Hannover 96: prediction and stats

2. BundesligaRegular Season - 15Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Holstein-Stadion, Kiel

Holstein KielHannover 96

The Footlab model makes Hannover 96 the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Holstein Kiel. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Holstein Kiel vs Hannover 96?

A very open match: only 94 Elo points separate Holstein Kiel (1,984) and Hannover 96 (2,078).

Holstein Kiel win25 %
Draw24 %
Hannover 96 win51 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Holstein Kiel have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Hannover 96 have 8, 5 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Holstein Kiel
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026TSV 1860 München(away)2-0DFB Pokal
Aug 14, 2026FC St. Pauli(home)2-22. Bundesliga
Aug 8, 2026SV Darmstadt 98(away)2-22. Bundesliga
Jul 29, 20261899 Hoffenheim(away)1-3Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026FSV Mainz 05(away)0-3Friendlies Clubs
Hannover 96
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Hemelingen(away)9-1DFB Pokal
Aug 16, 2026VfL Wolfsburg(home)0-12. Bundesliga
Aug 9, 2026Energie Cottbus(away)1-32. Bundesliga
Aug 1, 2026PEC Zwolle(home)3-0Friendlies Clubs
Jul 7, 2026Phönix Lübeck(home)3-1Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Holstein Kiel win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Hannover 96 win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 8, 2026Hannover 96 3-1 Holstein Kiel2. Bundesliga
Aug 30, 2025Holstein Kiel 1-2 Hannover 962. Bundesliga
May 19, 2024Hannover 96 1-2 Holstein Kiel2. Bundesliga
Jan 13, 2024Hannover 96 3-2 Holstein KielFriendlies Clubs
Dec 16, 2023Holstein Kiel 3-0 Hannover 962. Bundesliga
Jul 7, 2023Holstein Kiel 1-2 Hannover 96Friendlies Clubs

Last archived meeting: Hannover 96 vs Holstein Kiel on Feb 8, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Holstein Kiel score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Hannover 96 score 2.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Holstein Kiel1.71.5410/1512/15
Hannover 962.71.159/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Holstein Kiel sit 12th in 2. Bundesliga (2 points from 2 matches) and Hannover 96 sit 17th (0 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
12Holstein Kiel2020442
17Hannover 962002140

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Holstein Kiel vs Hannover 96?
The Footlab model makes Hannover 96 the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Holstein Kiel.
Where and when is Holstein Kiel vs Hannover 96 played?
Holstein Kiel vs Hannover 96 is played on December 12, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Holstein-Stadion, in the 2. Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Holstein Kiel and Hannover 96

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