Where and when is VfL Osnabrück vs FC St. Pauli played?

VfL Osnabrück vs FC St. Pauli is played on December 12, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Bremer Brücke, in the 2. Bundesliga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

VfL Osnabrück vs FC St. Pauli: prediction and stats

2. BundesligaRegular Season - 15Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Bremer Brücke, Osnabrück

VfL Osnabrück

FC St. Pauli

The Footlab model makes VfL Osnabrück the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for FC St. Pauli. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win VfL Osnabrück vs FC St. Pauli?

A very open match: only 48 Elo points separate VfL Osnabrück (2,008) and FC St. Pauli (1,960).

VfL Osnabrück win50 %

Draw25 %

FC St. Pauli win25 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, VfL Osnabrück have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; FC St. Pauli have 3, 5 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

VfL Osnabrück
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 18, 2026	Spelle-Venhaus(away)	5-3	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 15, 2026	1. FC Magdeburg(home)	0-3	2. Bundesliga
Aug 8, 2026	1. FC Heidenheim(away)	3-4	2. Bundesliga
Aug 1, 2026	SC Paderborn 07(home)	0-2	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 24, 2026	Nordhorn(away)	7-0	Friendlies Clubs

FC St. Pauli
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Rot-Weiß Essen(away)	0-2	DFB Pokal
Aug 14, 2026	Holstein Kiel(away)	2-2	2. Bundesliga
Aug 9, 2026	SpVgg Greuther Fürth(home)	1-1	2. Bundesliga
Aug 1, 2026	Deportivo La Coruna(home)	2-2	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 24, 2026	Bournemouth(away)	1-4	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 VfL Osnabrück win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 FC St. Pauli win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 12, 2024	FC St. Pauli 3-1 VfL Osnabrück	2. Bundesliga
Dec 9, 2023	VfL Osnabrück 1-1 FC St. Pauli	2. Bundesliga
Mar 21, 2021	VfL Osnabrück 1-2 FC St. Pauli	2. Bundesliga
Nov 27, 2020	FC St. Pauli 0-1 VfL Osnabrück	2. Bundesliga
Mar 1, 2020	FC St. Pauli 3-1 VfL Osnabrück	2. Bundesliga
Sep 22, 2019	VfL Osnabrück 1-1 FC St. Pauli	2. Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: FC St. Pauli vs VfL Osnabrück on May 12, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

VfL Osnabrück score 2.2 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; FC St. Pauli score 1.3 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
VfL Osnabrück	2.2	1.6	4	7/15	9/15
FC St. Pauli	1.3	2.0	0	12/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

VfL Osnabrück sit 18th in 2. Bundesliga (0 points from 2 matches) and FC St. Pauli sit 13th (2 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
13	FC St. Pauli	2	0	2	0	3	3	2
18	VfL Osnabrück	2	0	0	2	3	7	0

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for VfL Osnabrück vs FC St. Pauli?: The Footlab model makes VfL Osnabrück the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for FC St. Pauli.
Where and when is VfL Osnabrück vs FC St. Pauli played?: VfL Osnabrück vs FC St. Pauli is played on December 12, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Bremer Brücke, in the 2. Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.